Italy takes the lead

Written by Manfred Hübner | 31 October 2016
Posted in sentix Euro Break-up Index News

The Eurocrisis creeps back into the heads of the investors in a new way. No longer Greece, but Italy is now the country that is most likely to leave the Eurozone within the year from the perspective of the more than 1,000 investors surveyed. This development underscores the importance of the referendum to the Constitution in Italy on December, 4th.

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Mediterranean tensions

Written by Julien Mueller | 26 September 2016
Posted in sentix Euro Break-up Index News

The fragile condition of the Eurozone has not improved in comparison to previous months. The September results draw a gloomy picture. The sentix Euro Break-up Index (EBI) for the Eurozone rises to 16.3 points, while in the meantime contagion risks have slightly fallen. Especially the situation of the Portuguese and Greek economy continues to cause worries with investors.

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Superficial ease of tensions

Written by Julien Mueller | 29 August 2016
Posted in sentix Euro Break-up Index News

Tensions within the euro zone are easing in August. The sentix Euro Break-up Index (EBI) has fallen -4.6 points to 15.7 points, hence, significantly below the “magic” 20 points threshold. Overall, investors believe that the risk of the euro zone falling apart has decreased as risk sensitiveness for the euro periphery had fallen simultaneously. Only the continuously weak condition of the Italian banking industry, as well as lacklustre economic dynamic in Europe, emit risks.

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Contagion risk for other countries increases

Written by Patrick Hussy | 25 July 2016
Posted in sentix Euro Break-up Index News

After the Brexit shock and the obvious increase end of June the sentix EBI (Euro Break-up Index) calms down by the end of the month July 2016. The decline of 6.8 points to 20.3 points should not hide the fact that the value is still higher than before the Brexit referendum. The obvious calm in the capital markets does not seem to mean, the risk for a break-up of the euro zone has sustainably given away. In the background the risk of contagion rather increases. Several countries like Finland or Italy reach new annual highs in the country-EBI-indices.

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The Brexit becomes a Euro stress test

Written by Manfred Hübner | 27 June 2016
Posted in sentix Euro Break-up Index News

The unexpected vote of UK citizens wanting to leave the European Union, is also likely to hard shake the foundation of the euro again. Almost a third of investors responding in the sentix survey hold it again possible that the euro zone could break up within twelve months. In addition, new exit candidates appear on the horizon.

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