Conditional Relief

Written by Julien Mueller | 27 March 2017
Posted in sentix Euro Break-up Index News

The situation in the Eurozone significantly calms after the general elections in the Netherlands. The surprising weak turnout for the Eurosceptic Wilder party is the reason for investors to reconsider their pessimism about the union. In March, the sentix Euro break up Index eases below the 20-percentage point mark. Contagion risks, in contrast, remain high.

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The threatening three

Written by Julien Mueller | 27 February 2017
Posted in sentix Euro Break-up Index News

After two years absence, the euro-crisis is back in the spotlight. However, this time is different. The protagonists have multiplied as France and Italy now join Greece as likely exit candidates. The sentix indicator that measures the risk of contagion jumps for the first time since 2012/13 above 45% which puts politics under pressure to curtail the crisis from spreading further.

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Elections are the focus of attention

Written by Manfred Hübner | 31 January 2017
Posted in sentix Euro Break-up Index News

The start of the new year is accompanied by ongoing euro skepticism. This is also helped by the important elections in the coming months. The EBI figures for the Netherlands and France, which are noticeably rising, show just how much investors are looking for "correct" choice of options. Overall, the likelihood that a country will leave the euro remains high at 21.3%.

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Some rielief

Written by Manfred Hübner | 26 December 2016
Posted in sentix Euro Break-up Index News

The data on the Sentix Euro Break-up Index, which was collected shortly before Christmas, show a certain relief. The fact that Italy has a recapitalization of the deprecated bank Monte dei Paschi reduces the exit probability for Italy, if only slightly. The fact that the dangers for the Eurozone are by no means banished is shown by a look at the conta-gion risk index.

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It is high time!

Written by Julien Mueller | 28 November 2016
Posted in sentix Euro Break-up Index News

The closer we approach the December 4th, the more does the Italian referendum occupy the minds of investors. Fears of more trouble in the Eurozone mount as Italy takes the spotlight in our monthly Euro Break-Index (EBI) survey. Surprisingly, Investors do not exclusively pick Italy as a potential exit candidate. Moreover, exit probabilities of many euro member countries are on the rise. Especially France and the Netherlands join ranks with Italy. The sentix EBI increases to 24.1%.

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