sentix Euro Break-up Index News

On this page we provide information about the latest development of the sentix Euro break-up Index. This indicator shows over time, how likely individual and institutional investors rate the probabilty of a breakup of the euro area (leaving at least one country) within 12 months time. Also it reflects which countries are particularly affected.

Access to all charts for regsitered sentix voters

Reaction to the Dutch election

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The Netherlands has voted and given the euro sceptics a bit of a wake-up call. The Euro Break-up Index, which we rarely comment on at present as the situation in the eurozone is relatively stable, shows a relatively unusual swing in the sub-index for the Netherlands. This is certainly not high enough to act as a harbinger of crisis. But that could possibly change in the 2024 election year. We'll stay on the ball.

Italy exit risk increases

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For a long time, the sentix Euro Break-up Index was quiet. This is now changing: With the current government crisis in Rome, the third-largest economy in the EU has come into investors' sights as a potential exit candidate. The sub-index for Italy is rising more sharply.

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Political signals are getting through

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The situation in the Eurozone remains stable and calm. The entry into a European fiscal union, as Federal Finance Minister Scholz formulated it last week in the Bundestag on the occasion of the deliberations on the planned debt issuance by the EU Commission, probably also contributed to this.

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Situation under control

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While the euro countries continue to grapple with the Corona pandemic and believe that the pandemic situation can only be brought about under the control of a second "lockdown", the ECB is finding it easier to organise euro cohe-sion. The sentix Euro Break-up Index remains at a low level.

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Leaves fall calmly from the tree

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While the year 2020 will be anything but quiet and uneventful, this will not affect the stability of the euro zone. On the contrary, the corona crisis is currently masking important differences and even promoting one or two steps towards unification.

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