sentix Survey results (39-2024)

Written by Manfred Hübner | 29 September 2024
Posted in sentix Weekly

The China party continues

The mood on the stock markets has improved significantly. We measure the highest optimism for US equities this year. Investors are also acting accordingly bullish. The equity ratios have also increased. This is likely to dampen the short-term price outlook. We experienced a bang over the course of the week for Chinese equities. Here, we measure an increase in sentiment of 42 percentage points, more than ever before in a week.

Further results

• Bonds: attractiveness is waning across the entire curve
• Silver: the China party continues
• sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

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sentix Survey results (38-2024)

Written by Manfred Hübner | 22 September 2024
Posted in sentix Weekly

Loss of confidence in bonds

Investors in the bond market are not happy about the interest rate cuts by the Fed and the ECB. The basic strategic confidence is collapsing significantly, thus promoting profit-taking in bonds. Investors are apparently worried that inflation could make a comeback. For equities, we are seeing signals of an interim consolidation. There is also a sentiment signal for EUR-USD.

Further results

• Equities: Too many bulls in the US stock market
• EUR-USD: Bullish sentiment
• sentix Styles - Investor preferences & behavior

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sentix Survey results (37-2024)

Written by Manfred Hübner | 15 September 2024
Posted in sentix Weekly

Bullish sentiment reflex in equities

Confidence is increasingly spreading on the stock market. After the fear reflex of the previous week, share sentiment is jumping upwards just as reflexively. And basic confidence is also on the march. Is this the best of all worlds or a dangerous displacement mode? We see parallels in the sentiment picture from a year ago. Back then, investors were confident and a good fourth quarter followed. Is history repeating itself?

Further results

• Equities: Basic strategic confidence surprisingly strong
• Gold: The air is getting thinner
• sentix sector sentiment

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Germany chaos

Written by Manfred Hübner | 09 September 2024
Posted in sentix Economic News

The drama surrounding the German economy is heading for another climax in September. The situation values plummeted by a whopping 5.3 points to -48 points. The recession is raging ever stronger. Tragically, the expectation values are also falling, demonstrating the hopelessness of investors looking at the EU heavyweight. Although the overall eurozone index is not immune in this context, the decline is comparatively small at -1.5 points. Nevertheless, the eurozone is struggling with dangerous recessionary tendencies ‘thanks to Germany’. The situation in the rest of the world is also weakening, but investors here are somewhat more optimistic in their expectations.

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sentix Survey results (36-2024)

Written by Patrick Hussy | 08 September 2024
Posted in sentix Weekly

Fast fear reflex, slow portfolio adjustment

The fear reflex comes back very quickly: share sentiment rushes back into the pessimism zone from its recent neutral levels. This is where we were 5 weeks ago. As there is no doubt in the investor bias that the stock markets will continue to rise in the medium term, the TD Index also reacts significantly. Such low values have their own significance, especially as portfolio trading shows only moderate pressure to adjust. Things could therefore get rough again over the next three weeks.

Further results

• Equities: Average profile shows short term ‘rough path’
• Bonds: Bund future bias shows first flaw
• sentix Economic Index: Monday, 09th Sept. 2024 at 10:30 AM CET

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