Trend reversal or not - that is the question!

Written by Manfred Hübner | 04 December 2023
Posted in sentix Economic News

In many regions, we are measuring the third consecutive improvement in economic expectations and / or the overall index for the economy. For example, the economic expectations for the eurozone. At 0.2 points, however, the increase is very moderate. However, as the situation values also improved slightly, the question arises as to whether we can speak of a trend reversal. Internationally, the picture is the same: moderate improvements, but no real sign of an upturn. US stocks remain robust, but are equally unconvincing. There is a little hope in the Eastern European region.

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sentix Survey results (48-2023)

Written by Patrick Hussy | 03 December 2023
Posted in sentix Weekly

Jubilant aria

Sentiment towards German equities is boiling over: At +32 percentage points, sentiment has reached the next euphoria level (2-year high). Just 6 weeks ago, sentiment for the ATX was at -38 percentage points. At that time, fear was high and the stock market was down. Now investors are rejoicing and significantly increasing their portfolio risks. In the short term (around St. Nicholas), the signs are pointing to a correction. After that, it could go up again. Nevertheless, one thing is certain: the risks are increasing significantly again.

Further results

• Gold: Hand in hand
• Bonds: strong momentum
• sentix economic indices: Monday 04th Dec. 2024 at 10:30 AM CET

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Reaction to the Dutch election

Written by Manfred Hübner | 26 November 2023
Posted in sentix Euro Break-up Index News

The Netherlands has voted and given the euro sceptics a bit of a wake-up call. The Euro Break-up Index, which we rarely comment on at present as the situation in the eurozone is relatively stable, shows a relatively unusual swing in the sub-index for the Netherlands. This is certainly not high enough to act as a harbinger of crisis. But that could possibly change in the 2024 election year. We'll stay on the ball.

sentix Survey results (47-2023)

Written by Manfred Hübner | 26 November 2023
Posted in sentix Weekly

Sentiment remains favourable

The mood on the stock markets remains positive. Investors are completely under the spell of positive seasonality, which usually promises a favourable end to the year. Accordingly, portfolios are now also more offensively orientated. But investors are also clearly continuing to favour a bullish trend in bonds.

Further results

• Bonds: Investors are highly invested
• FX: Euro bias improves
• sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

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sentix Survey results (46-2023)

Written by Manfred Hübner | 19 November 2023
Posted in sentix Weekly

Bears in short supply

The share price gains have had a significant impact on investor sentiment. Bears in particular have become scarce in the short term. We are measuring the lowest level in the sub-index for US equities since the end of 2019. At the same time, we are hearing a decline in basic strategic confidence in equities. In turn, investors' investment horizon for bonds is lengthening again.

Further results

• Bonds: Investment horizon is lengthening
• Gold: Stable basic confidence
• sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

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