A little more confidence - despite tariffs
09 February 2025
Posted in
sentix Economic News
The "first mover" among the economic indicators reflects somewhat more confidence for the eurozone in February. The overall index rose from -17.7 points to -12.7 points. Although the assessment of the current situation remains in the deep red zone, it also increased by 4.0 points. Economic expectations for the next 6 months, on the other hand, rose more dynamically by +6.0 points and exceeded the magic zero line for the first time since July 2024 with an index level of +1.0 points. The German economy is also benefiting from this confidence. Expectations have improved by +8.0 points, while the situation assessment remains recessive. Hopes are based on a political turnaround after the federal elections on 23rd February 2025. Internationally, the outlook is also improving: in the US, the economic picture remains robust. The figures for Japan and the Asia ex Japan region have also risen. The renewed rise in Latin America and the signs of easing in Eastern Europe are also striking.
Headlines of the month
- The economic outlook for the eurozone brightened in February: The overall index rose by +5 points from -17.7 points to -12.7 points. Although the assessment of the situation remains in the deep red, it also increased by 4.0 points. Economic expectations, on the other hand, rose more dynamically by +6.0 points and, with an index level of +1.0, exceeded the magic zero line for the first time since July 2024.
- The German economy is also hoping for an improvement. Expectations have risen by +8.0 points, while the situation assessment remains unchanged in recessionary territory at -50.8 points.
- The economic picture in the US remains robust. The figures for Japan and the Asia ex Japan region have also risen. The renewed improvement in Latin America and the positive signs of recovery in Eastern Europe are also striking.
sentix Eco Report Euro area
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