Euro zone counters global drop in sentiment

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A little surprisingly, the sentix economic index (composite index) for the euro area continues its upward trend in February, rising by 1.4 to 13.3 points. It is mainly the current situation which is assessed in a better way than in the previous month by the almost 1,000 individual and institutional investors in the sentix survey. The correspondent index now reaches positive territory for the first time since August 2011. The increase of the composite index for the euro zone is all the more remarkable as investors perceive a clear drop in economic activity on a global level. Especially for the emerging markets they become more skeptical. But also for Japan sentiment is muted. 

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Confidence rises -- sentix EBI at all-time low

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After having climbed two months in a row the sentix Euro Break-up Index (EBI) falls to an all-time low of 13,3% in January. It stood at 17% in the previous month. With its current reading, the sentix EBI shows that less than one in seven investors expects at least one country to leave the euro area within the next twelve months.

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Early warning signal: banking sentiment reaches all-time high

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At the beginning of the year sentix Sector Sentiment for banks jumps to a new all-time high. Investors thus leave the euro crisis behind mentally – as banks were at the centre of the euro zone's problems since 2007. But for the future performance of banks stocks and the equity market as a whole this is rather bad news.

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sentix introduces Bitcoin indicator!

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With its Bitcoins Sentiment sentix has introduced a new indicator within the sentix Asset Class Sentiment family of indices at the end of last year. This index is – on a worldwide level – the first which measures investors' sentiment for this digital currency. Now, in January, Decembers' first impression is confirmed: investors are extremely negative for Bitcoins.

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The euro zone leaves its crisis behind

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The composite index for the euro zone rises by 3.9 to 11.9 points in January. This increase is the strongest of a composite index in January among all surveyed countries and regions. It is also noteworthy that the assessment of the current situation for the euro zone improves markedly and has now entered neutral territory. That means that at the start of 2014 Euroland finally leaves its crisis behind it. Looking at other countries and regions, the composite index for Germany – which celebrates its fifth anniversary this month – rises slightly from 32.1 to 32.4 points. Germany thus remains the growth engine for the euro zone. The generally positive picture at the beginning of the year is only blurred by the figures for Asia ex Japan. Nevertheless, the composite index for the global aggregate increases for the sixth month in a row. 

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