sentix Investmentmeinung 14-2018

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Technik contra Bias

Eine spannende Divergenz besteht bereits seit längerem bei EUR-USD. Während viele strategische Indikatoren deutlich pro US-Dollar sprechen, ist von einer USD-Stärke im charttechnischen Bild von EUR-USD nicht viel zu sehen. In dieser Woche hat sich der Strategische Bias erneut abgeschwächt, so dass wir die Gelegenheit nutzen, unsere EUR-USD-Position einer näheren Betrachtung zu unterziehen.

Geänderte Einschätzungen: keine

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Sink flight

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After the declines in expectations had already indicated a turnaround in the previous months, a significant eco-nomic slowdown must now be assumed. All regions of the world are on a downward economic trend. Expectations in the Euro zone are also negative for the first time since July 2016. The customs disputes, fueled by US President Donald Trump, are leaving their traces. The emerging markets are holding up marginally better, even if the same basic trend prevails there.

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sentix Survey results (14-2018)

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Strategic bias remains tarnished

Investors' basic confidence in equities remains tarnished. Trump's trade agenda is poorly received, as he risks hitting the global economy badly. What weighs on equities increasingly supports bonds. Also, with EUR-USD something is happening: the strategic bias decreases noticeably. In view of the record high positioning of the euro, this is a warning signal.

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sentix Investmentmeinung 13-2018

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Entzauberung der Tech-Story

Die US-Aktienmärkte überraschen die Anleger zum Start des zweiten Quartals mit einer Preisschwäche. Die Technologie-Story wird gleich von mehreren Seiten untergraben. Wir bleiben jedoch (noch) bei unserer leicht positiven Grundausrichtung. Bei US-Bonds und im Rohstoffbereich nehmen wir dagegen Anpassungen vor.

Geänderte Einschätzungen: Silber

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sentix Survey results (13-2018)

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Easter Edition

We wish all our appreciated survey participants a happy Easter. Please note: Don't let them send you an April fool today!

The Easter issue will be published this weekend as a short commentary.

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