Europe remains calm

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Written by Manfred Hübner | 30 April 2018
Posted in sentix Euro Break-up Index News

Investors' worries about a collapse of the euro zone will be reduced again in April. The sentix EBI Index again reached an all-time low of 6.3 points. Although the political situation in Italy remains unclear and the economic mo-mentum in Europe has recently dampened, this has no effect on the assessment of the stability of the euro zone.

In April 2018, investors' fears of a break-up of the euro zone will be reduced again. The overall index of the sentix EBI Index reached a new all-time low of 6.3 points. The recent slowdown in economic growth has not led to new concerns among the investors surveyed by sentix about the stability of the euro zone. This is further evidence of the euro-zone's new robustness.

sentix Euro Break-up Index: Headline Index Euro area and Sub-index Italy

sentix Euro Break-up Index: Headline Index Euro area and Sub-index Italy

This is also clear with regard to the individual countries under consideration. Although Italy has still not been able to form a new government after the parliamentary elections, this hanging game is not detrimental to the EBI survey. The Italian sub-index fell by 1 to 3.6 points. The Greek sub-index also fell to 3.6 points. Here, investors are rewarding the surprisingly positive budget figures.

Background

The sentix Euro Breakup Index is published on a monthly basis and was launched in June 2012. Its poll is running for two days around the fourth Friday of each month. Results are regularly published on the following Tuesday morning. Survey participants may choose up to three euro-zone member states of which they think they will quit the currency union within the next twelve months. Further details on the sentix Euro Breakup Index can be found on http://ebr.sentix.de.

This month’s reading of 6.3% means that currently, this percentage of all surveyed investors expect the euro to break up within the next twelve months. The EBI has reached its high at 73% in July 2012 and touched its low at 6.3% in April, 2018.

The current poll in which about 1.000 institutional and retail investors participated was conducted from April 26th to April 28th, 2018.

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