France provides momentum for the eurozone

Written by Patrick Hussy | 26 June 2017
Posted in sentix Euro Break-up Index News

Following the French parliament elections, the fears of a break-up of the eurozone continue to decline. The overall Euroland index fell back to 8.6% (before:11.4%), the lowest level since September 2014. In particular, the Greek sub-index continued its dynamic recreation. This trend could be also noticed for the Italian sub-index. The general trend of reassurance could not be transferred to the index, which measures the contagion risk. It rose from around 34% to 38%.

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sentix Investmentmeinung 25-2017

Written by Manfred Hübner | 26 June 2017
Posted in sentix Weekly

Rohöl mit konträrem Signal?

Während die Anleger sich über viele Assetklassen neutral verhalten und sich in ihren Portfolios auf die Benchmark zurückziehen, entwickeln sie eine sehr akzentuierte Meinung zum Thema Rohöl. Das Sentiment spiegelt mit einem Wert von -29 Prozentpunkten den Zustand von Angst wider. Wie ist das konträre Signal einzuordnen?

Geänderte Einschätzungen: EUR-USD

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sentix ASR Essentials 25-2017

Written by Patrick Hussy | 25 June 2017
Posted in sentix Weekly

High underlying uncertainty points to volatility pick-up

The latest sentix survey indicates that investors are now only modestly pessimistic on the near-term outlook for equities, set against a medium-term strategic bias that has seen a marked improvement in recent months. However, highly elevated sentix neutrality indices suggest that there is also an underlying uncertainty on the nearterm outlook for equity markets. This fits in with survey positioning data which suggest that over-investment in equities is running at below longer-term average levels. It is a similar story in bonds, with near-term neutrality highly elevated on bunds. The risk is that such high uncertainty leads to a pick-up in volatility in equities and bonds over the summer. See Charts 2-4, p2.

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sentix Investmentmeinung 24-2017

Written by Manfred Hübner | 19 June 2017
Posted in sentix Weekly

Eine mehr als bescheidene Korrektur

Die Idee, auf eine Korrektur der US-Aktien zu setzen, war eigentlich gar nicht so schlecht. Doch mehr als 2-3 Tage Kursschwäche sind anscheinend einfach nicht drin. Schon eine 2% Schwäche reicht aus, das Sentiment auf so niedrige Werte zu drücken, dass eine weitere Spekulation auf fallende Kurse keinen Sinn mehr macht.

Geänderte Einschätzungen: S&P, Nasdaq 100

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High appetite for risk in equity markets

Written by Manfred Hübner | 19 June 2017
Posted in Special research

Investors continue to show a relatively high appetite for risk in equities. This statement means less absolute positioning levels in stocks, but the structure and pattern of action. Above all, equities of small companies are still favoured by investors, and price gains are increasingly being used as an investment objective. In addition, investors are acting increasingly pro-cyclical.

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