sentix Investmentmeinung 32-2018

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Hoffnungsschimmer für Edelmetall-Fans

In den letzten Monaten hatten Anleger in Gold und Silber wenig Freude. Ein steigender US-Dollar und steigende USD-Kurzfristzinsen sind nicht dazu angetan, den Edelmetallen Unterstützung zu gewähren. Ausgehend vom USD dürfte sich daran auch noch nichts ändern und dennoch bessert sich u.E. das Umfeld.

Geänderte Einschätzungen: Gold, Silber, Öl

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sentix Survey results (32-2018)

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Equities: No new quality in Sentiment

The stock sentiment remains bearish without really becoming extreme. At the same time, the bias does not reveal a new quality, especially as the problems in Italy play a greater role. The whole thing has an impact on exchange rates. We measure a negative sentiment impulse at EUR/USD and EUR/JPY. Precious metals attract for a contrary entry. The overconfidence index is low, the carelessness to put on falling silver prices is massive.

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sentix Investmentmeinung 31-2018

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Nur eine Fata Morgana?

Die Anleger haben lange Zeit einen Konjunkturabschwung erwartet. Nun scheint die Angst vor Zöllen abzuebben und es kommt eine neue Perspektive auf. Hat der heiße Sommer an den europäischen Bör-sen eine Fata Morgana erzeugt?

Geänderte Einschätzungen: keine

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sentix Survey results (31-2018)

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Tactical opportunity in precious metals

The past week has had a big impact on investors: On the one hand, the European stock market is gradually becoming frightened, while at the same time the US stock markets are stimulating and thereby raising medium-term investor expectations. In this context, it is dangerous that overconfidence in US equities is increasing. There are also extreme signals in gold and silver, especially on the emotional side.

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Concerns about trade disputes diminish

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The summer heat in Europe is also causing economic temperatures to rise again. The overall Euro zone index rose by 2.6 points to 14.7 points in August. A complete all-clear cannot yet be given, because with negative expectations, the economy is still in a cooling off phase. But investors seem to see the dangers of an escalation in the trade dispute initiated by US President Trump much less acute.

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