Fifth consecutive increase

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The economic recovery, which has been observable globally since May 2020, continues in September. In Euro-land, but also in many other regions, we are measuring the fifth consecutive rise in the overall indices. A positive aspect is that the expectation values remain stable, i.e. the improvement is largely driven by the current situa-tion. However, these values are still largely in negative territory, meaning that the recessionary tendencies have not yet been fully overcome. In an international comparison, Switzerland and Asia ex Japan stand out.

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sentix Survey results (36-2020)

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Positive for the autumn

Last week we recommended that from now on you should not drive without an airbag (portfolio insurance)! The week just started showed a volatility surge, both in equities and in other asset classes. There were increased indications of an offensive positioning behavior as well as high overconfidence. Investors are now showing a remarkable reaction!

Further results:

  • FX: Readiness to sell continues to increase for EUR-USD
  • Goldmines equities: Basic confidence rises to 52-week high
  • sentix economic index: Monday 07th September 2020 at 10:30 CET

Click here for the full report (requires a sentix registration)

Things remain calm

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At the beginning of September, the situation in the euro zone is calm. The sentix Euro Break-up Index remains at 5.7%. The sub-index for Italy is also unremarkable.

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sentix Survey results (35-2020)

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Das Positionsrisiko nimmt deutlich zu

Bislang hat die „Mauer der Angst“ dem Aktienmarkt Flügel verliehen. Doch nun Ende August verändert sich das Anlegerverhalten, indem das Aktiensentiment (zumindest für US-Aktien) erstmals seit Beginn der Corona-Krise leicht positiv wird. Zudem zeigt das Investitionsverhalten eine deutliche Risikoerhöhung an. Fest steht: Ab jetzt beginnt der wirklich riskante Teil der Aktienmarktentwicklung!

Weitere Themen:

  • FX: Auf EUR-USD lastet die Bereitschaft für Gewinnmitnahmen
  • Gold: Zurück im Bullmodus
  • sentix Anlegerpositionierung in Aktien und Renten

Lesen Sie hier die Ergebniskommentierung (sentix Registrierung erforderlich)

sentix Survey results (34-2020)

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Basic confidence continues to rise

The stock markets are in the middle of the seasonally difficult summer period, which runs from the beginning of August to mid/end of September. This period of uncertainty is reflected in the sentiment data, which continue to show a fair amount of scepticism among investors. The discussions about a second lockdown, e.g. in Germany, which would undoubtedly cause great economic damage, are an additional burden. But scepticism is an important support for the markets.

Further results:

  • FX: Profit taking in EUR-USD
  • Bonds: The headwind is increasing
  • sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

Click here for the full report (requires a sentix registration)

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