sentix Survey results (22-2021)

Written by Manfred Hübner | 30 May 2021
Posted in sentix Weekly

Rising volatility to be expected

There has been little news in the sentix data set over the course of the week. Increasing volatility is expected on the US stock market. Investors in Europe are also positioned rather offensively, which is often rather unfavourable in the run-up to the summer months. Steadiness in the price rise is likely to have contributed to this optimistic portfolio action. However, the sentix Overconfidence Index is thus reaching a critical level for German equities.

Further results:

• Equities: Overconfidence on the German stock market
• Gold: Basic confidence remains high
• sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

Click here for the full report (requires a sentix registration)

sentix Survey results (21-2021)

Written by Manfred Hübner | 23 May 2021
Posted in sentix Weekly

Few bulls, irritation rises

The price development of shares causes the bulls to retreat. But this does not create new bears. Irritation currently dominates. This indicates an increase in volatility on the stock market. In gold and silver, on the other hand, the data rather suggest a relatively stable continuation of the upward movement.

Further results:

• Gold: Basic confidence still high
• Oil: Top in sight
• sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

Click here for the full report (requires a sentix registration)

Behavioral Finance als Grundlage der Technischen Analyse

Written by Manfred Hübner | 17 May 2021
Posted in Special research

Für die meisten Marktteilnehmer ist die Technische Analyse eher eine Kunst als eine Wissenschaft. Das hängt mit vielen Faktoren zusammen, insbesondere mit den meist visuellen Konzepten, die häufig Grundlage der Technischen Analyse sind. Von Anfang an war die Analysedisziplin der Versuch von Praktikern, die Natur der Finanzmärkte in den Griff zu bekommen.

sentix Survey results (20-2021)

Written by Patrick Hussy | 16 May 2021
Posted in sentix Weekly

Not really a new situation

Sentiment for US equities remains moderately bearish, acknowledging the recent weakness in the US equity market. Volatilities have risen, the P/C ratio has touched the last reversal levels. The strategic bias does not yet show any bargain hunters. This speaks for a continuing corrective movement. The European stock market is benefiting from "less technology". Nevertheless, the bond market could become a killjoy here as well.

Further results:

• Bonds: New 52-week low in bias
• Bitcoins: Negative sentiment impulse
• sentix Sector Sentiment

Click here for the full report (requires a sentix registration)

Overstimulation?

Written by Manfred Hübner | 09 May 2021
Posted in sentix Economic News

The global economy is beginning to show signs of overheating. The situation assessments in all regions continue to improve. With the exception of Latin America and Eastern Europe, we measure positive values everywhere. The Corona-related recession phase has ended. At the same time, expectations remain high. Investors therefore expect a continuation of the current upswing, which is increasingly perceived as a boom. This has a noticeable ef-fect on the situation on the bond markets. Investors expect reactions from the central banks.

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