Overstimulation?

Written by Manfred Hübner | 09 May 2021
Posted in sentix Economic News

The global economy is beginning to show signs of overheating. The situation assessments in all regions continue to improve. With the exception of Latin America and Eastern Europe, we measure positive values everywhere. The Corona-related recession phase has ended. At the same time, expectations remain high. Investors therefore expect a continuation of the current upswing, which is increasingly perceived as a boom. This has a noticeable ef-fect on the situation on the bond markets. Investors expect reactions from the central banks.

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sentix Survey results (19-2021)

Written by Patrick Hussy | 09 May 2021
Posted in sentix Weekly

Paradox sentiment situation

The S&P 500 is rushing from one all-time high to the next. Surprisingly, this process is relatively "unemotional". Sentiment for equities in the USA is just about neutral. At the same time, fewer and fewer investors are following the upward trend at the strategic level. Medium-term reservations are growing and in the end are also reflected in sentiment. The situation is different in the precious metals sector. There, investors are rejoicing over the successful liberation blow.

Further results:

• Bonds: Strong bias discount
• Gold: Sustainably good starting position
• sentix economic index: Monday, 10th May 2021 at 10:30h CEST

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Risk appetite and willingness to sell

Written by Manfred Hübner | 06 May 2021
Posted in sentix Weekly

Every week we ask our investors about their portfolio positioning. We are interested in whether investors have a higher or lower than usual exposure in their portfolios. We aggregate the data in the sentix portfolio risk level indicators.

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sentix Survey results (18-2021)

Written by Manfred Hübner | 02 May 2021
Posted in sentix Weekly

No supportive market low reached yet

Sentiment in equities has deteriorated over the course of the week. The chart of the week shows the link between sentiment and the volatility structure in equities. This might give the impression that sentiment could already be negative enough for equities to rise. But this is not the case, in our opinion. Rather, there is still a lack of a sufficiently large number of bears for a supporting market low.

Further results:

• Bonds: Basic confidence turns down again
• Commodities: Positive focus continues

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sentix Survey results (17-2021)

Written by Patrick Hussy | 25 April 2021
Posted in sentix Weekly

New 26-week lows in the bias

The high long positioning in the euro/US dollar is still weighing on the exchange rate despite the reduction. The recent recovery of the European currency has not led to a lasting change in the bias. A strengthening of the US dollar should be the logical consequence. In addition, investors' basic strategic conviction about equities has also deteriorated further. The willingness to take profits is clearly increasing.

Further results:

• Bonds: Price weakness indicated for BTPs
• Gold: It looks quite good
• sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

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