Europe clearly lagging behind

Written by Patrick Hussy | 07 February 2021
Posted in sentix Economic News

The sentix overall economic index for Euroland falls by -1.5 points in February to an index level of -0.2 points. The lockdowns in many European countries are leaving their mark. For Euroland, the assessment of the current situation falls by 1.0 points, while the expectations component drops by 2.0 points. A similar trend can be observed for the assessment of the German economy. The international picture is different. The US economy in particular is setting an exclamation mark. However, Japan and the Asia ex Japan region are also continuing to recover.

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sentix Survey results (05-2021)

Written by Manfred Hübner | 31 January 2021
Posted in sentix Weekly

Negative sentiment in the short-term

The correction tendencies of the past week have left clear traces in investor sentiment. The sentix sentiment is clearly becoming more pessimistic. This opens up the chance of a rebound in the coming week. However, an end to the correction trend is statistically only to be expected in 2-3 weeks.

• FX: USD on the rise
• Bonds: Bias continues to erode
• sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

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sentix Survey results (04-2021)

Written by Patrick Hussy | 24 January 2021
Posted in sentix Weekly

Mixed picture with significant risks

Risks on the financial markets are gradually increasing: The high level of overconfidence for the Nikkei is striking. In addition, the stock markets in Switzerland and Austria are also causing an "alpenglow". All-time highs are also measurable in the sentiment for emerging markets equities as well as in the style index for small caps. Investors are taking an offensive stance in their portfolios and see hard times ahead for bonds.

Further results:

• Equities: Alpenglow
• Bonds: Bias continues to erode
• sentix Styles - Investor preferences & behavior

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sentix Survey results (03-2021)

Written by Manfred Hübner | 17 January 2021
Posted in sentix Weekly

Correction likely

The tendency to sell, which intensified in the course of the week, has led to a clear slump in sentiment. This is particularly pronounced among the professionals. We do not see this as a contrarian indication but rather as a negative sentiment impulse that could initiate a wave of correction. Private investors are still relatively relaxed and portfolios are still moderately overinvested. The second half of January is thus likely to be rather negative for equities.

Further results:

• FX: EUR/USD bias turns
• Bonds: Weak underlying confidence
• sentix sector sentiment

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sentix Survey results (02-2021)

Written by Patrick Hussy | 10 January 2021
Posted in sentix Weekly

Sentiment high, bias weaker

Sentiment for U.S. equities is high, the put call ratio low. Much points to a high-risk situation in investor behavior. This includes a strategic bias that continues to erode - especially in the institutional camp.

From a sentiment analysis perspective, the Bitcoin market currently deserves special attention, as it is taking on parabolic traits and sending several warning signals at the same time. The bias is buckling away.

Further results:

• FX: EUR/USD with sentiment divergence
• Bitcoins: Basic confidence collapses significantly
• sentix economic index: Monday 11. January 2021 on 10:30 CET

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