sentix Survey results (04-2021)

Written by Patrick Hussy | 24 January 2021
Posted in sentix Weekly

Mixed picture with significant risks

Risks on the financial markets are gradually increasing: The high level of overconfidence for the Nikkei is striking. In addition, the stock markets in Switzerland and Austria are also causing an "alpenglow". All-time highs are also measurable in the sentiment for emerging markets equities as well as in the style index for small caps. Investors are taking an offensive stance in their portfolios and see hard times ahead for bonds.

Further results:

• Equities: Alpenglow
• Bonds: Bias continues to erode
• sentix Styles - Investor preferences & behavior

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sentix Survey results (03-2021)

Written by Manfred Hübner | 17 January 2021
Posted in sentix Weekly

Correction likely

The tendency to sell, which intensified in the course of the week, has led to a clear slump in sentiment. This is particularly pronounced among the professionals. We do not see this as a contrarian indication but rather as a negative sentiment impulse that could initiate a wave of correction. Private investors are still relatively relaxed and portfolios are still moderately overinvested. The second half of January is thus likely to be rather negative for equities.

Further results:

• FX: EUR/USD bias turns
• Bonds: Weak underlying confidence
• sentix sector sentiment

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sentix Survey results (02-2021)

Written by Patrick Hussy | 10 January 2021
Posted in sentix Weekly

Sentiment high, bias weaker

Sentiment for U.S. equities is high, the put call ratio low. Much points to a high-risk situation in investor behavior. This includes a strategic bias that continues to erode - especially in the institutional camp.

From a sentiment analysis perspective, the Bitcoin market currently deserves special attention, as it is taking on parabolic traits and sending several warning signals at the same time. The bias is buckling away.

Further results:

• FX: EUR/USD with sentiment divergence
• Bitcoins: Basic confidence collapses significantly
• sentix economic index: Monday 11. January 2021 on 10:30 CET

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Expectations overshoot

Written by Manfred Hübner | 10 January 2021
Posted in sentix Economic News

The sentix economic expectations for Euroland continue to develop very positively. Although large parts of Europe are suffering from a lockdown and the Corona pandemic seems to be flaring up again in other parts of the world, such as Japan, economic expectations continue to rise. In Euroland, they reach 33.5 points, the highest level since records began in 2003. This very positive assessment of expectations is likely to be very much in line with the prospects of a successful vaccination campaign. For in contrast, the situation is moving along very slowly, and in Asia we are even measuring a decline!

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sentix Survey results (01-2021)

Written by Manfred Hübner | 03 January 2021
Posted in sentix Weekly

New year Edition

On behalf of the entire sentix team, we wish you all the best for the new year and hope you have entered it well and healthy. Rarely has a new year been so eagerly awaited. The expectations that it will be better than 2020 are high. But in stock market terms, 2020 was unexpectedly positive and 2021 is likely to be difficult to top.

Further results:

• Equities: Basic confidence crumbles
• Precious metals remain sought after
• Oil with seasonal tailwind

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