sentix ASR Essentials 38-2014

Written by Patrick Hussy | 12 October 2014
Posted in sentix Weekly

Signs that sentiment gap between EMs and Commodities is narrowing

A notable feature of the sentix survey through the summer has been the resilience of sentiment towards Emerging Markets (EMs), at a time when pessimism has been the dominant theme in the case of Commodities. On this front, medium-term sentiment readings for Gold and Crude remain at deep pessimism levels, while nearterm pessimism on Crude is running at historic extremes. However, there are signs that sentiment on the equity front may be changing, with survey readings based on the strategic medium-term outlook for China 'bluechips' beginning to retreat from recent highs (Chart 2, page 2). It may be that the unusually large sentiment gap between EMs and Commodities is beginning to close.

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Euro zone shrinking, the world feeble

Written by Manfred Hübner | 05 October 2014
Posted in sentix Economic News

In October, the composite index for the euro zone falls for the third time in a row. As both the assessment of the current situation and the 6-month expectations are now clearly in negative territory, the sentix indices signal shrinking output for the euro area. And there are no positive news coming from the indicators for the other coun-tries or regions either: all composite indices recede this month! Even for the US and Asia ex Japan – both stood out until recently with rather solid indices – the economic shine fades. It is mainly investors' 6-month expecta-tions that worsen. All in all, the data points to a nearing downturn of the world economy.

sentix ASR Essentials 37-2014

Written by Manfred Hübner | 05 October 2014
Posted in sentix Weekly

Bunds sentiment supported by macro views

The latest sentix survey underlines the rising tide of optimism towards eurozone bonds, both in the near-term and on a medium-term strategic viewpoint. Such optimism may reflect expectations that the ECB could move into the market to purchase government bonds. However, it is also consistent with investors' views (as expressed when answering monthly questions on investment themes) that the inflation and economic backdrop continues to become more bond-bullish on a six month view (see Charts 2/3, page 2). That said, while the tide of optimism is rising, the survey also suggests that medium-term 'neutrality' levels on bunds are also becoming elevated. A degree of uncertainty on bunds remains beneath the sentiment surface.

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New company brochure

Written by Manfred Hübner | 02 October 2014
Posted in sentix Intern

In this year, sentix is for the first time exhibitor on the IFTA conference. For this event, technical analyst from all parts of the world come to the conference location. The conference is held from October 9th to October 11th, 2014.

For this event we have created a new company brocure. Please have a look and let us know what you think!

Bloomberg updates finished

Written by Manfred Hübner | 30 September 2014
Posted in Database news

As we have written in our sentix database newsletter (April 2013), we have completed the integration of all new sentix series into the Bloomberg system. The overview pages will be up to date within the next days (see SNTX<GO> ff.).

With the completion of this task, we will delete outdated ticker symbols from our database. For example, you find the medium-term expectations of investors now in the indicator family SNTB sentix Strategic bias instead of the group SNTM sentix Market sentiment. Also, all positioning information is now available in the SNTA indicator family. Discontinued series will be marked in the Bloomberg system as "historic" and not updated anymore.

If you have any questions regarding our database or the changes made, please contact us anytime.