Second exclamation mark of the "first mover”

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Many economic observers have come to terms with an economic downturn. But the "first mover" is sending an exclamation mark for the second month in a row with its dynamic turn: The sentix overall index for Euroland rises again, the expected values even reach the highest level since March 2018! Many things are going better than expected, the prospects are brightening across the globe. The Asia ex Japan region is developing into a special source of hope - especially for the German economy.

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sentix Survey results (48-2019)

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The sentiment is dampening the bull market

The sentiment on the US stock market is boiling over. What the sentix sentiment clearly points out is not so visible in the AAII Bull Bear Index so far. We would like to emphasize again our leading characteristic and the quality of the data series!

Further topics:

  • Equities: UK Bias with all-time high
  • Equities: Nasdaq produziert Overconfidence
  • Gold: Buy signal in Time Differential Index

Click here for the full report (requires a sentix registration)

A warm welcome for Madame Lagarde

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Even before the new President of the ECB, Christine Lagarde, will chair her first Council meeting and explain the de-cisions taken at a press conference, investors will form first narratives. One such narrative is that Madame Lagarde seeks to stand shoulder to shoulder with politics. This strengthens the cohesion of the Eurozone from the investors' point of view.

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sentix Survey results (47-2019)

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Consolidation not yet complete

Price dynamics and the mood on the stock market are closely related. Markets consolidate when sentiment is bullish and stocks are overbought. Currently, US equities show that the share of overbought stocks has already fallen from over 20% to 8%. By contrast, sentiment values are still relatively high. Only when both indicators have fallen close to the zero line is the path to the upside generally clear again.

Click here for the full report (requires a sentix registration)

On the tracks of special vintages

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The stock year 2019 is a special one. With a current plus of 26.6%, it is one of the thirteen best years in the S&P 500 since 1920! What can we expect for the rest of the year?

Read the research here

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