sentix Investmentmeinung 21-2018

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Bonds im Aufwind

Die technische Ausgangslage bei Bonds hat sich in den letzten Tagen signifikant gebessert. Vor allem US-Bonds zeichnen sich u.E. noch immer durch ein gutes Chance-Risiko-Verhältnis aus. Auch bei Bundesanleihen liegt eine neue positive Indikation vor. Bei Aktien lockt uns der erste Lichtblick noch nicht aus der Reserve.

Geänderte Einschätzungen: Keine

Lesen Sie hier die Ergebniskommentierung (sentix Registrierung erforderlich)

sentix Survey results (21-2018)

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First ray of hope in strategic bias

In Strategic Bias, the first signs of stabilization are visible, but it is still too early for a turnaround, especially as the bias against the southern euro countries has fallen further. Investors reduced equity positions slightly in May, which improved the risk situation. At Bonds, we measure a positive sentiment impulse. Fundamental confidence continues to grow against the US dollar, but the chances of an interim EUR-USD recovery increase in the short term.

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Sentiment comeback of the US dollar

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The US dollar has made a respectable comeback in the last four weeks. Against the euro, the greenback appreciated by around 6 cents and also strengthened against the Japanese yen. This has significantly changed the mood, as measured by the sentix sentiment. In the short term, investors are not as bullish for the dollar as they have been since the end of 2016.

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sentix Investmentmeinung 20-2018

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Pause im USD-Aufwertungstrend

Lange hat es gedauert, bis sich die Datenlage durchgesetzt und der Euro-Aufwertungstrend ein Ende gefunden hat. Dafür ging die Korrektur von 1,24 binnen 4 Wochen bis auf das aktuelle Niveau von 1,18. Diese Korrektur hat zwar wenig an den treibenden Kräften geändert, dafür aber einiges in der Stimmung der Anleger. Wir machen eine Bestandsaufnahme.

Geänderte Einschätzungen: EUR-USD

Lesen Sie hier die Ergebniskommentierung (sentix Registrierung erforderlich)

sentix Survey results (20-2018)

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Overconfidence in Europe

The situation on the stock markets remains characterised by relatively weak basic confidence. At the same time, the straightforward increase in recent weeks has favoured overconfidence in Europe. For bonds and Gold, we are receiving positive signals from the TD indicators. In the FX area, on the other hand, the mood has clearly changed pro USD. This could take a breather in the USD trend.

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