sentix Survey results (15-2024)

Written by Patrick Hussy | 14 April 2024
Posted in sentix Weekly

Too little fear for a rapid end to consolidation

Sentiment on the stock market continues to plummet. We are measuring the lowest sentiment value for many indices since January 5, 2024, reflecting fears of an escalation of the conflict in the Middle East. However, it still seems too early to sound out a contrarian buy point from a sentiment analysis perspective. The existing fears are there, but compared to historical market turning points, they have not yet reached the quality that would suggest an anti-cyclical entry. The AAII Bull-Bear Index, for example, is still relatively high and therefore has a lot of "reaction space" to offer.

Further results

• Precious metals: First of all at the top
• FX: Interest rate differentials and bias pro US dollar
• sentix sector sentiment

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Will everything be fine now?

Written by Manfred Hübner | 08 April 2024
Posted in sentix Economic News

Will there finally be a sustainable economic upturn? At least the economic recovery in the eurozone and world-wide is continuing. We are measuring the sixth consecutive rise in the overall index for the eurozone. The index rises to -5.9 points. Expectations for the eurozone have even risen for the seventh time and, at +5 points, are at their highest level since February 2022. The economic signals are also stabilising internationally. Only Austria is an exception here with a completely divergent development.

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sentix Survey results (14-2024)

Written by Manfred Hübner | 07 April 2024
Posted in sentix Weekly

Bull bump

The geopolitical uncertainties and reduced prospects of an interest rate cut by the US Federal Reserve have caused unrest on the stock markets and a slump in sentiment. However, the sentiment data points more towards consolidation and less towards the risk of a general trend reversal. Commodities in particular have benefited in the current environment. We are seeing bullish sentiment for gold and crude oil and thus a deterioration in the risk situation.

Further results

• EUR-USD: Bias continues to fall
• Commodities: Short-term overshoots
• sentix Economic Index: Monday, 08.04.2024, 10.30 am CEST

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sentix Survey results (13-2024)

Written by Manfred Hübner | 31 March 2024
Posted in sentix Weekly

No cheers despite all-time highs

We wish all sentix participants a happy Easter. Today you will receive the Easter edition of the sentix commentary.

Further results

• EUR-USD: Bias continues to fall
• Commodities: Gold and oil still have potential
• Easter Edition

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sentix Survey results (12-2024)

Written by Patrick Hussy | 24 March 2024
Posted in sentix Weekly

Party with the handbrake on

The stock markets remain in a bull trend for the time being. Nevertheless, the mood for dividend stocks is only cautiously positive. At the same time, the risk situation already indicated a month ago has intensified, particularly for Europe's stock markets. A correction is long overdue, especially as the investment behavior of private investors appears increasingly risky. The risks on the bond market are significantly lower. Precious metals are now also showing increased risks.

Further results

• EUR-CHF: Massive mood impulse
• Crude oil: Confidence continues to rise
• sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

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