sentix Survey results (43-2023)

Written by Manfred Hübner | 29 October 2023
Posted in sentix Weekly

Surprisingly little fear

The share price losses have had surprisingly little effect on investor sentiment. As anxious as they were in the summer, they are now very calm. In bonds, we measure an all-time high in the strategic bias of US bonds. This should put pressure on the "shorties".

Further results

• Bonds: Convinced professionals
• Silver: Sharp drop in the TD Index
• sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

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sentix Survey results (42-2023)

Written by Patrick Hussy | 22 October 2023
Posted in sentix Weekly

Fear looks different

Sentiment on the stock markets has plummeted. Sentiment reflects a high level of pessimism, but fear looks different: Significantly lower sentiment values would have to be reached for this to happen. What is also missing is that fear normally triggers panic selling. This behavior is not observed in the positioning data so far. In the case of gold and silver, sentiment is shooting through the roof.

Further results

• Equities: Conflict between economic cycle and bias
• Gold: Investors rejoice, risk increases
• sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

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sentix Survey results (41-2023)

Written by Patrick Hussy | 15 October 2023
Posted in sentix Weekly

Equity bias continues tightly upwards

The strategic bias for equities continues to point firmly upward. Investors recognize an opportunity in the price decline. However, they do not act on it, they adjust their investment behavior only slowly! The precious metals can profit from the war fear in Israel clearly. Gold sentiment jumps here dynamically, the momentum promises more. On the crypto track, vola also hints. Neutrality goes through the roof for Bitcoins.

Further results

• Bitcoins: All-time high in neutrality
• Gold: Sentiment impulse
• sentix sector sentiment

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Not weaker, not better

Written by Manfred Hübner | 09 October 2023
Posted in sentix Economic News

The global economy is still in a difficult situation at the beginning of autumn in the northern hemisphere. In the Eurozone, and especially in Germany, the economic situation remains weak and the recessionary tendencies persist. At least there is a slight ray of hope in the form of rising expectations. However, it would be premature to declare a turnaround. If we look further into other regions, we see a largely unchanged picture. Cooling tendencies dominate. A positive trend reversal is nowhere to be found here either.

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sentix Survey results (40-2023)

Written by Patrick Hussy | 08 October 2023
Posted in sentix Weekly

Persistent pessimism, sustained confidence

Investor sentiment shows neutral or mostly even negative values across all asset classes. Only USD/JPY shows optimism. Otherwise, equities are struggling with persistent pessimism, as are bonds and commodities.
Paradox: In the medium term, investors may well warm to almost all assets. The investment behavior basically suggests that one should take more risk at the moment.

Further results

• Bonds: Instis are especially confident
• FX: Special position USD/JPY
• sentix economic index: Monday, 09th Oct. 2023 at 10:30 CEST

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