sentix Investmentmeinung 15-2015

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Bullishes Sentiment macht den Kurzfristtrend unberechenbarer

Der April gilt traditionell als saisonal starker Monat. Vor allem die erste April-Hälfte tritt dabei positiv in Erscheinung. Dies ist auch in 2015 bislang nicht anders. Die gute Performance der Nach-Oster-Woche hat besonders Eindruck bei den Anlegern hinterlassen und die Stimmungswerte in Europa kräftig gehoben. Damit ist unter Risikogesichtspunkten nunmehr ein kritischeres Urteil zu fällen.

Geänderte Einschätzungen: DAX, EuroSTOXX 50, Nikkei, CSI300

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sentix ASR Essentials 15-2015

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High optimism on near-term outlook for Equities

The latest sentix survey points to highly elevated levels of optimism among survey participants in terms of the near-term outlook for Equity markets. Sentiment readings for the DAX, EuroSTOXX, Nikkei and chinese equities have now reached twelve month highs. A lot of optimism is built into markets at current levels (see Chart 5, page 3). At the same time, the survey also provides a unique insight into investors’ views on European sectors versus the market. It suggests that investors have become less optimistic on cyclical sectors such as Autos and Industrial Goods & Services, but that the tide of optimism on Construction and Chemicals continues to rise (Chart 2, page 2). At the other end of the sentiment spectrum, pessimism still dominates on Utilities and Energy, albeit readings for Energy are up from recent lows, in line with a less pessimistic view on Crude Oil.

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sentix Investmentmeinung 14-2015

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Oster-Edition

Feiertagsbedingt ist die Investmentmeinung in dieser Woche verkürzt! Wir haben die Teilkomponenten zu den Märkten (siehe Tabelle in dem Dokument) aktualisiert. Es ergeben sich keine neuen Einschätzungen zu den von sentix betrachteten Märkten. In der kommenden Woche erhalten Sie wieder die Investmentmeinung im gewohnten Format.

Geänderte Einschätzungen: keine

Klicken Sie hier für die aktuelle Investmentmeinung (sentix Registrierung erforderlich)

US dollar is a burden for the US economy

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Both the current situation and the expectation values of the US economy have slowed this month. From the per-spective of investors surveyed by sentix thus, show in the US economy increasingly sanding marks, which the strong dollar may well explain. Somewhat surprisingly, however, is that we measure a significant damper for the German economy. Particularly as the rest of the euro zone is in a robust constitution. For the Euro zone, the current situation index rises to its highest level since 2011. Furthermore, the overall index improves as well.

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sentix ASR Essentials 14-2015

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No report due to the easter holidays.

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