Gold does not benefit from the Greek crisis

Written by Sebastian Wanke | 06 July 2015
Posted in Special research

Investors’ basic conviction for gold is fading. This is mirrored by the sentix Strategic Bias for the yellow metal which con-tinues to fall although the Greek crisis and a favourable seasonal pattern should lend support. Rather do investors expect US yields to rise, though, and, at the same time, they lose their inflation fantasies. Both goes against higher gold prices.

Euro zone defies Greek crisis

Written by Sebastian Wanke | 05 July 2015
Posted in sentix Economic News

Despite the increasing confusion surrounding the fate of Greece the composite index for the euro zone rises in July. While investors’ 6-month expectations remain about stable, their assessments of the current situation improve significantly. This constellation signals that market participants already behave as if the euro area was in a boom! In addition, the strong rise of the US index stands out. At the same time, though, the picture for the emerging-markets regions gets ever cloudier which, all in all, points to a world economy losing further steam.

sentix ASR Essentials 27-2015

Written by Manfred Hübner | 05 July 2015
Posted in sentix Weekly

Neutral stance ahead of referendum

Ahead of the Greek referendum investors take a neutral stance over the short term. This is understanda-ble but does not fit with their basic conviction. This implies a tendency to act after the Athens decision. US bonds are currently not US in-vestors’ favourite which is also mir-rored in the Strategic Bias for gold. Last but not least, the Greek show-down promises to be a non-event for the euro, at least at time hori-zons beyond the coming weeks.

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sentix Investmentmeinung 26-2015

Written by Manfred Hübner | 29 June 2015
Posted in sentix Weekly

There are no translations available.

Der hässliche Moment

Seit Jahren gibt es eine nicht gerade kleine Anzahl von Anlegern, die der Eurogruppe Konkursverschleppung vorwerfen. Und nicht wenige fordern deshalb einen Austritt Griechenlands aus der Eurozone. Andere wiederum stört das halbherzige Vorgehen der Regierungen Europas. Sie würden sich ein konsequentes, zielorientiertes Handeln wünschen. Und wiederum andere Anleger stören sich an der extremistischen Regierung in Griechenland, die nur Chaos und Unruhe in die EU trägt. Aus diesem Grund verwundert die aktuelle Aufregung um die Ankündigung eines Referendums in Griechenland schon. Denn Tsipras gelingt, was den schlauen EU-Bürokraten bislang nicht gelungen ist: eine Klärung der Lage, die eigentlich alle oben beschriebenen Meinungen zufriedenstellen müsste.

Geänderte Einschätzungen: China-Aktien, EUR-USD, USD-JPY

Klicken Sie hier für die aktuelle Investmentmeinung (sentix Registrierung erforderlich)

Investors split on euro break-up, but clear on contagion

Written by Manfred Hübner | 29 June 2015
Posted in sentix Euro Break-up Index News

In June, the sentix Euro Break-up Index rises from 41.2% to 48.4%. Investors are thus almost perfectly split into two halves regarding their expectations on countries exiting the euro. In turn, they are much clearer on contagion dangers of which they think that they are barely existing.