sentix Investmentmeinung 42-2016

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Öl mit neuem Signal

Die Ölpreise konnten sich in den letzten Wochen – entgegen der üblichen saisonalen Tendenz – weiter erho-len. Ausgangspunkt war ein schwaches Sentiment und eine moderate Belebung im Strategischen Bias. Doch nun beginnen sich, eine Reihe von Divergenzen einzustellen. Diese müssen zwar den Ölpreis nicht sofort nach Süden bringen, doch die Gefahrenmomente nehmen zu!

Geänderte Einschätzungen: EUR-USD, Rohöl

Klicken Sie hier für die aktuelle Investmentmeinung (sentix Registrierung erforderlich)

A second Brexit result?

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In a special survey, we interviewed more than 1,000 investors for their opinion on the forthcoming US presidential elections. From the point of view of investors, the choice seems to be running. Around 90% expect a victory from Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton. This clear vote goes beyond the current state of the so-called "prediction mar-kets", ie the vote of the bookmakers. Is the story of the Brexit repeating itself?

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SNTI and SNTZ data delayed

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Dear data client,
due to a technical problem, the data for the sentix Styles indices (part of 'preference and behavior data package') cannot provided in time. We are working on the issue and hope to have the data ready for download by Monday night. Please notice, that the data you receive on Bloomberg are not the final numbers and will be revised by the upcoming update. We will inform you by mail as soon as the delayed data is available to you.

Data codes affected by this issue are starting with SNTIxxxx and SNTZxxxx.

All other data items are available and correct.

We apologize any inconvenience for you and thank for your understanding.

Kind regards,

Your sentix database team

sentix ASR Essentials 42-2016

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EM optimism chimes with constructive views on Commodities

The latest sentix survey points to an increasingly negative strategic bias on Eurozone bonds among those investors surveyed, set against a notably positive medium-term bias on equities, whether developed or emerging market. On the latter front, continued optimism on emerging market equities as an asset class chimes with a revival in sentiment towards commodities, underlining once again that sentiment on both asset classes remains closely linked. In the case of commodities, sentiment is not being undermined by investors’ optimism on the near-term outlook for the US dollar versus Yen and the euro (Charts 2-4, p2).

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Question of adjustment

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Investors’ opinion on the euro currency has fallen to the lowest level since “Brexit”. Despite that comparable pessimistic sentiment readings point towards an immediate reversal, current portfolio setups do not fully support investors’ sentiment, yet. Hence, in the next weeks, the euro should continue to show relative weakness.

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