sentix Survey results (20-2018)

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Overconfidence in Europe

The situation on the stock markets remains characterised by relatively weak basic confidence. At the same time, the straightforward increase in recent weeks has favoured overconfidence in Europe. For bonds and Gold, we are receiving positive signals from the TD indicators. In the FX area, on the other hand, the mood has clearly changed pro USD. This could take a breather in the USD trend.

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Oil and oil stocks are running hot

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The uncertainties in the Gulf region, which continue to be fueled by the termination of the Iran nuclear agreement by the USA, and the sharp rise in prices are leaving their mark on investors' sentiment. Investor sentiment on oil has reached its highest level since the end of 2016, and oil shares are also in high demand. But here, too, we are now measuring euphoric trends in the sector sentiment. A contrary chance is looming!

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sentix Investmentmeinung 19-2018

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Starke Öl- und Aktien-Signale

In der letzten Woche reduzierten wir unsere Öl-Position, um der Möglichkeit eines Überschießens nach oben Rechnung zu tragen. Dies trat auch ein, hat aber dadurch zu einem neuen Sentiment-Signal geführt. Entsprechend handeln wir erneut. Auch bei Aktien tut sich was: Während die Stimmung steigt, bleibt der Strategische Bias schwach. Daraus entsteht ein neues TD-Signal. Und auch die Overconfidence ist bemerkenswert.

Geänderte Einschätzungen: DAX, EuroSTOXX 50, Rohöl

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sentix Survey results (19-2018)

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Cheers at the oil market

On the European stock markets, overconfidence signals are mating with new lows in strategic bias. The negative mix is reinforced by extreme values in the time difference indices. Conversely, US bonds are benefiting investors. Here, the basic medium-term confidence increases. Emotions are also high on the oil market. Low neutrality index values and high optimism continue to indicate a high risk situation.

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sentix Investmentmeinung 18-2018

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Fokus auf US-Bonds

Die besondere Bewegung an den Finanzmärkten findet derzeit bei EUR-USD statt. Seit Wochen haben wir auf diese Reaktion gewartet, nun scheint mit dem Break der 1,20 eine Trendwende vollzogen. Oft-mals gehen mit neuen Trends im US-Dollar auch andere größere Kapitalmarktbewegungen einher. Rückkopplungen könnte es in jedem Fall zu den Anleihenmärkten geben.

Geänderte Einschätzungen: CSI 300, Bund-Future, US-Treasury Future, Rohöl

Lesen Sie hier die Ergebniskommentierung (sentix Registrierung erforderlich)

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