sentix Survey results (24-2019)

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Bella Italia? Not for bonds.

The discussion about Italy's debt sustainability and the possible introduction of mini bots have led to a new all-time low in the strategic bias on Italian bonds. A new negative record has also been set relative to German bonds. Will this provide new food for the euro crisis? Already in 2017, a negative relative development in bias was a harbinger of a price weakness of BTPs in the summer.

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Investors rely on the central banks

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Investors rely on the central banks

Even if the bond markets appear technically exhausted in the short term, they are still strongly supported thematically.

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A punch below the belt

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As soon as the hopeful data of the sentix economic index had been published in May, the US president made a mistake in investors' calculations. At the latest since the US government prohibited US companies from doing business with the Chinese telecom supplier Huawei, it has become clear that a "cold" trade war is threatening to become a "hot" one. This development has pulled investors out of their upswing hopes and led to considerable setbacks in the sentix economic indices in all regions of the world. For the Euro zone, the overall index drops from 5.3 to -3.3 points.

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sentix Survey results (23-2019)

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The treasure in Silver Lake

At +58 percentage points, we measure an all-time high in the strategic bias for silver. Even more impressive is the rate of change compared with the previous week, which, at +25 percentage points, eclipses all historical benchmarks. This enormous power signals willingness to buy and is likely to have a significant impact on investment behaviour (see CoT Report) in the coming weeks. A build-up of significant long quotas is to be expected.

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sentix Survey results (22-2019)

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Angst

The already bad sentiment for US equities last week has increased again by 8 points within a week. We measure a bear surplus of -34 percentage points. We thus attest to fear among investors and are heading for an anti-cyclical buying opportunity in the S&P 500. Stock prices should rise after another week at the latest.

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