Waiting for death

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In the German language, the word "Rente" not only stands for the pension benefits of pensioners, but is also another term for fixed-income securities (bonds). These were or are securities that offer the owner an annual, usually fixed rate of interest - like a pension. This is no longer the case at present. The deep slide of certain segments of the bond market into negative interest rates, for example german federal bonds, has massive consequences, which will be pointed out and discussed here.

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Mixture of rubber band, medicinal herbs & paralysis reminds of 2011

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Mixture of rubber band, medicinal herbs & paralysis reminds of 2011

Do you remember summer 2011? Back then, economic indicators and the stock market went their separate ways for many months. Within a few trading days, the whole thing turned into a summer crash. In 2019, too, such a gap opened up - more than ever.

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Downturn gains speed

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The pressure on the economic front is increasing noticeably. The current assessment and expectations are falling to their knees, and 6-month expectations for the Euro area are falling by 7 points to -20 points. This is the lowest value since August 2012!

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sentix Survey results (31-2019)

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Bargain hunters, where are you?

With a bear surplus of 35 percentage points, the sentiment for US equities reflects strongly frightened investors. We measure a 52-week low in the sentiment barometer (inverted presentation). At the same time, the P/C ratio is also starting to rise. The measured fear is an indication that we are heading for a temporary market low. However, a return of US equities to the bull market seems impossible. The reaction in the strategic bias (not shown) is too weak for this.

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High risks with gold - entry only after consolidation

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High risks with gold - entry only after consolidation

With gold, we are currently measuring a clearly tense risk constellation. The overall risk index for gold amounts to -1.13 standard deviations.

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