Downturn gains speed

Written by Patrick Hussy | 04 August 2019
Posted in sentix Economic News

The pressure on the economic front is increasing noticeably. The current assessment and expectations are falling to their knees, and 6-month expectations for the Euro area are falling by 7 points to -20 points. This is the lowest value since August 2012!

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sentix Survey results (31-2019)

Written by Patrick Hussy | 04 August 2019
Posted in sentix Weekly

Bargain hunters, where are you?

With a bear surplus of 35 percentage points, the sentiment for US equities reflects strongly frightened investors. We measure a 52-week low in the sentiment barometer (inverted presentation). At the same time, the P/C ratio is also starting to rise. The measured fear is an indication that we are heading for a temporary market low. However, a return of US equities to the bull market seems impossible. The reaction in the strategic bias (not shown) is too weak for this.

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High risks with gold - entry only after consolidation

Written by Patrick Hussy | 29 July 2019
Posted in sentix Weekly

High risks with gold - entry only after consolidation

With gold, we are currently measuring a clearly tense risk constellation. The overall risk index for gold amounts to -1.13 standard deviations.

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Risk of contagion continues to decrease

Written by Patrick Hussy | 29 July 2019
Posted in sentix Euro Break-up Index News

In Euroland, summer rest begins. Following the European elections and the filling of government positions in the EU, Italy has also recently brought some relief. This is reflected in the Euro Break-up Index, which at 8.9 points once again falls below the 10 percent threshold. The easing is even more visible in the index, which measures the risk of contagion. This one marks a new three-year low.

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sentix Survey results (30-2019)

Written by Patrick Hussy | 28 July 2019
Posted in sentix Weekly

Silver bias goes through the ceiling

At 71 percent, the strategic bull overhang in silver marks an absolute record. The strategic bias on silver rises to dizzying heights and illustrates the extremely high basic conviction among investors. A reaction in the positioning behavior has already taken place! With almost 55,000 contracts traded (CoT Report), speculations on a rising silver price predominate. It remains positive that the sentiment for silver (see also page 4 middle) with +30% clearly lags behind the bias.

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