Nothing speaks for banks at the moment...

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Nothing speaks for banks at the moment...

...and there's a chance in that. The sentix sentiment sector for banks reached a value of -2.4 standard deviations in June, one of the lowest values measured by sentix since 2001. From the point of view of the contrary sentiment analysis, such a finding makes us sit up and take notice and in principle expect rising prices.

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sentix Survey results (24-2019)

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Bella Italia? Not for bonds.

The discussion about Italy's debt sustainability and the possible introduction of mini bots have led to a new all-time low in the strategic bias on Italian bonds. A new negative record has also been set relative to German bonds. Will this provide new food for the euro crisis? Already in 2017, a negative relative development in bias was a harbinger of a price weakness of BTPs in the summer.

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Investors rely on the central banks

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Investors rely on the central banks

Even if the bond markets appear technically exhausted in the short term, they are still strongly supported thematically.

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sentix Survey results (23-2019)

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The treasure in Silver Lake

At +58 percentage points, we measure an all-time high in the strategic bias for silver. Even more impressive is the rate of change compared with the previous week, which, at +25 percentage points, eclipses all historical benchmarks. This enormous power signals willingness to buy and is likely to have a significant impact on investment behaviour (see CoT Report) in the coming weeks. A build-up of significant long quotas is to be expected.

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sentix Survey results (22-2019)

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Angst

The already bad sentiment for US equities last week has increased again by 8 points within a week. We measure a bear surplus of -34 percentage points. We thus attest to fear among investors and are heading for an anti-cyclical buying opportunity in the S&P 500. Stock prices should rise after another week at the latest.

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