sentix ASR Essentials 08-2016

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Investors still cautious on Equities; but taking a shine to Gold

The latest sentix survey suggests that while near-term sentiment towards equities has revived from recent pessimism extremes, investors remain relatively cautious on the medium-term. The recent improvement in investors’ views on the medium-term strategic outlook for indices such as the EuroSTOXX appears to have quickly lost momentum, with survey readings declining over the week. At the same time, survey participants are running with below average levels of over-investment in equities. In short, the recent bounce-back in markets has not yet been sufficient to allay survey respondents’ medium-term concerns over equities. Such caution, along with recent falls in US real yields, chimes with continued optimism on the medium-term outlook for Gold (Charts 2-4, P2).

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sentix Investmentmeinung 07-2016

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Comeback-Versuch des US-Dollar

Der Euro überraschte viele Marktteilnehmer in den letzten Wochen positiv. Eingeleitet wurde die Kurserho-lung von einem Strategischen Bias, der sich seit Mitte November deutlich nach oben bewegte. Doch nun stockt der Erholungsprozess. Kommt es nochmals zu einer US-Dollar-Stärke?

Geänderte Einschätzung: EUR-USD, USD-JPY

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sentix ASR Essentials 07-2016

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Report will follow on Monday.

sentix Investmentmeinung 06-2016

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Die Gegenbewegung läuft – nur wie lange und wie weit?

In der abgelaufenen Woche hat der Markt ein Tief durchlaufen. Diese Feststellung, die wir an dieser Stelle in der letzten Ausgabe der Investmentmeinung noch unter spekulativen Vorzeichen treffen mussten, hat sich durch das Preisverhalten des Marktes und die neuesten Sentimentdaten bestätigt. Die Gretchenfrage derzeit ist, wie weit und wie lang reicht nun eine Aufwärtsbewegung oder liegt gar eine Trendwende vor?

Geänderte Einschätzung: China-Aktien, US Bonds

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sentix ASR Essentials 06-2016

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Still backing away from Banks

The latest sentix survey suggests investors are becoming a little less downbeat on equities from a medium-term perspective and a little less upbeat on bonds. At the same time, in terms of their sector preferences, survey participants have also become less negative on cyclical sectors such as Basic Resources, Autos and Chemicals versus the market in the past month. However, there is little sign of a change of heart on the Financials, with survey readings on Banks now close to historic lows (see Page 2 for charts). The good news is that  such deep-rooted pessimism on Banks has not, as yet, curbed the recent revival in investors’ views on the medium-term outlook for equity markets.

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