sentix Survey results (02-2020)

Written by Manfred Hübner | 13 January 2020
Posted in sentix Weekly

Risk-signals for US equities

The stock markets, especially in the USA, have made a good start to the new year. Even geopolitical irritations were unable to unsettle investors significantly. But now there are increasing signs of consolidation. The sentix risk radar is at -1.4 points, one of the most negative values since 2001, reflecting sentiment, technical analysis and positioning. The second half of January is also often a time for consolidation due to seasonal factors.

Further topics:

• FX: Further per EUR-USD
• Precious metals: mood ok, positioning strained
• sentix Sector sentiment

Click here for the full report (requires a sentix registration)

sentix Survey results (01-2020)

Written by Patrick Hussy | 05 January 2020
Posted in sentix Weekly

Overconfidence in series

At the end of the year, almost everything has now taken a knock, which is an anti-cyclical reminder to be cautious with equities. In addition to the high values in the sentix Sentiment for US equities, the AAII bull bear index has also reached an extreme value. In addition, we measured high long ratios among both private and institutional investors at the end of December. Risk is also indicated by the high overconfidence. The start of the year should be bumpy.

Further topics:

• Equities: Italy's stock market creates perspectiv
• Crude oil: Sentiment runs hot
• sentix Economic indices: Monday, 06.01.2020, 10.30 AM

Click here for the full report (requires a sentix registration)

sentix Survey results (52-2019)

Written by Patrick Hussy | 29 December 2019
Posted in sentix Weekly

Year-end edition: US equity bias closes at annual high

Institutional investors are significantly overinvested in equities at the end of the year. We measure a 2-year high in investment behaviour. This is atypical, because normally the professionals move to their benchmark at the end of the year and enter the new year neutrally. The market's vulnerability at the start of the year is therefore high.

Further topics:

• Bonds: Bias closes at annual low
• sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

Click here for the full report (requires a sentix registration)

sentix Survey results (51-2019)

Written by Patrick Hussy | 22 December 2019
Posted in sentix Weekly

Christmas Edition: New dynamics in precious metals

Gold remains a favourite. The bias climbs to 49 percentage points, sentiment has also risen, but remains significantly lower from its level. Overall, a solid foundation for gold bulls.

Further topics:

• Equities: Bias remains solid
• sentix Styles - Investor preferences & behavior

Click here for the full report (requires a sentix registration)

Financial services in the shadow of banks

Written by Patrick Hussy | 17 December 2019
Posted in sentix Weekly

The negative sentiment of the banks radiates to the financial services sector. Nevertheless, the performance of this sector is anything but bad. The refusal of investors seems to benefit the sector.

Read the research here

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