Is the worst already over?

Written by Manfred Hübner | 03 February 2020
Posted in sentix Weekly

Will the corona virus plunge the global economy into recession? Are further restrictions in everyday life to be expected in the short term? And how will governments and central banks react?

These are just some of the current uncertainties facing investors. What is the mood on the markets and how should one act now in the portfolio? This is the question we are looking into in the current "indicator in focus" issue.

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sentix Survey results (05-2020)

Written by Patrick Hussy | 02 February 2020
Posted in sentix Weekly

CRAZY

The expected correction in equities is taking shape. With the spread of the virus in China and all the associated horror scenarios, sales are experiencing increasing momentum. Sentiment for equities (in this case the US) plunges into negative territory. A comparison with the US stock sentiment during the SARS spread and today reveals a high similarity. At that time, however, there was real fear in the market (-45 percentage points). This fear persisted until mid-March 2003.

Further topics:

• Equities: Various comparisons to 2003 / SARS pandemic
• Bonds: No value perception
• Precious metals: Profit-taking announced

Click here for the full report (requires a sentix registration)

sentix Survey results (04-2020)

Written by Manfred Hübner | 26 January 2020
Posted in sentix Weekly

Consolidation underway

Has the overdue correction in the US equity market ended before it has really started? Because the mood has already neutralized again and at the same time the basic confidence is asserting itself surprisingly clearly. Nevertheless, we expect the consolidation trend that has begun to continue, not least because we can measure both a sentiment and a volatility divergence. This is often just as much a harbinger of a weak phase as a sentiment divergence.

• Bonds: Sentiment improved, positioning increased
• Precious metals: Hardly any air left
• sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

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sentix Survey results (03-2020)

Written by Manfred Hübner | 19 January 2020
Posted in sentix Weekly

Consolidation ante portas

In the previous week we emphasized the increased risks in the US equity market. In the course of the week this did not change. The overbought situation has now reached almost 30% of all shares in the S&P 500. This is a historically high level and was only outbid at the beginning of 2018. By contrast, the mood has cooled down. Is this positive and is there a negative sentiment divergence? This is what we are investigating in this sentix sentiment analysis.

Further topics:

• FX: Further per EUR-USD
• Precious metals: mood ok, positioning strained
• sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

Click here for the full report (requires a sentix registration)

Investors love technology stocks (even more)

Written by Manfred Hübner | 14 January 2020
Posted in sentix Weekly

In November 2019 we last highlighted European technology stocks. Investor sentiment for this sector was already dazzling back then. At the start of 2020, investors are going one step further. One too much?

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