sentix Survey results (09-2020)

Written by Manfred Hübner | 01 March 2020
Posted in sentix Weekly

Between fear and panic

The sentix indicators were probably one of the few indicators that had issued a clear warning on the stock markets. However, we were also surprised by the force with which stocks fell globally. Now the opposite situation has arisen. We can measure not only high volatility, but also very negative sentiment. This opens up short-term pull-back opportunities. But what are the medium-term price prospects for equities?

Further topics:

• Precious metals: Profit taking begins
• Bonds: Bullish without value
• sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

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The ides of March

Written by Manfred Hübner | 25 February 2020
Posted in sentix Weekly

The "Ides of March", the anniversary of Julius Caesar's death, are also a special date on the financial markets. Often around this date (March 15th of a year) important trend changes or acceleration phases in existing trends take place. This can be seen in the seasonal charts of stocks, currencies and bonds.

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sentix Survey results (08-2020)

Written by Manfred Hübner | 23 February 2020
Posted in sentix Weekly

Weak strategic confidence continues to weigh heavily on equities

In the course of the week, investors' concerns about the spread of the corona virus have increased significantly. This is mainly due to the fact that there are two new areas of high numbers of infection, South Korea and Italy. Drastic measures to contain the epidemic would cause further severe damage to the global economy. In any case, investors' basic confidence continues to decline sharply, reinforcing the tendency to reduce equity positions.

Further topics:

• Precious metals: Euphoric mood
• FX: Yen in focus
• sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

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sentix Survey results (07-2020)

Written by Patrick Hussy | 16 February 2020
Posted in sentix Weekly

Equities: No good news, bias rushes down

Since last Monday it has been clear that sentix economic expectations are being dampened for the first time after three consecutive rises. For the region Asia ex Japan (China) the decline is even more pronounced than in the other regions of the world. If economic expectations follow the decline in the Baltic Dry index, this could mean further difficulties. The stock markets (CSI 300) have so far reacted to the clouding only to a limited extent. The strategic equity bias is clearly collapsing globally.

Further topics:

• Equities: Great sentiment divergence
• FX: Dollar-Run
• sentix Sector sentiment

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sentix Survey results (06-2020)

Written by Patrick Hussy | 09 February 2020
Posted in sentix Weekly

sentix Survey Essentials (06-2020)

Equities: The fear quickly disappeared again

The "Corona fears" have dissipated within a week. The development in the fight against the virus encourages investors that the negative consequences for the economy will be limited. Sentiment for US equities, for example, has risen by an impressive 45 percentage points. The contrary buy signal to the previous week is thus void, the market must now think about the strategic potential of stocks. The bias is slightly declining, but there is no sell-signal for US equities yet.

Further topics:

• FX: The euro suffers a setback
• Gold: Problematic situation
• sentix economic index: Monday 10th Feb. 2020 /10:30AM

Click here for the full report (requires a sentix registration)