Eurozone cooling, global stabilisation

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The Eurozone suffers from the loss of economic momentum of the global economy. The overall sentix Economic Index for the Eurozone stagnates at 5.5 points in March. Reasons for Eurozone’s malaise are visible in investors assessment of the current situation. The value drops by about 2.2 points, below the April 2015 level.

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Familiar players back on stage

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The sentix Euro-Break-up Index (EBI) raises three points to now 19.9% in February. The latest rise marks the fourth straight increase in a row after being propelled by Greece’s return to the stage of the euro-drama.

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sentix Investmentmeinung 08-2016

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Strategischer Bias als Vorlaufindikator zur COT-Positionierung

In der laufenden Woche gibt es wenige neue Highlights. Dies gibt uns Zeit, ein paar grundsätzliche Zusammenhänge zu betrachten. Diese betreffen den Strategischen Bias, einen unserer wichtigsten Indikatoren. Der Strategische Bias reflektiert die Grundüberzeugung der Anleger und reflektiert damit Wissen der Anleger. Der Indikator ist im Gegensatz zum Sentiment nicht konträr zu interpretieren, sondern läuft oftmals der Marktentwicklung vor.

Geänderte Einschätzung: keine

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sentix ASR Essentials 08-2016

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Investors still cautious on Equities; but taking a shine to Gold

The latest sentix survey suggests that while near-term sentiment towards equities has revived from recent pessimism extremes, investors remain relatively cautious on the medium-term. The recent improvement in investors’ views on the medium-term strategic outlook for indices such as the EuroSTOXX appears to have quickly lost momentum, with survey readings declining over the week. At the same time, survey participants are running with below average levels of over-investment in equities. In short, the recent bounce-back in markets has not yet been sufficient to allay survey respondents’ medium-term concerns over equities. Such caution, along with recent falls in US real yields, chimes with continued optimism on the medium-term outlook for Gold (Charts 2-4, P2).

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sentix Investmentmeinung 07-2016

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Comeback-Versuch des US-Dollar

Der Euro überraschte viele Marktteilnehmer in den letzten Wochen positiv. Eingeleitet wurde die Kurserho-lung von einem Strategischen Bias, der sich seit Mitte November deutlich nach oben bewegte. Doch nun stockt der Erholungsprozess. Kommt es nochmals zu einer US-Dollar-Stärke?

Geänderte Einschätzung: EUR-USD, USD-JPY

Klicken Sie hier für die aktuelle Investmentmeinung (sentix Registrierung erforderlich)

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