sentix ASR Essentials 43-2016

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Bund pessimism reaches high end of historic range

The latest sentix survey points to increasingly entrenched pessimism on the nearterm outlook for US and Eurozone Bonds. In the case of Bund futures, sentiment readings have reached levels not seen in five years, and are now firmly set at the low end of their historic range. At the same time, monthly questions on investor positioning revealed that survey participants’ levels of over-investment in bonds have dropped well below long-term average levels. In conclusion, near-term pessimism on bunds is running at relatively stretched levels, though at the same time investors’ medium-term strategic bias on bunds has become a little less negative (see Charts 2-3, p2).

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Wiederholt sich 1987?

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Einige charttechnische Analysten schlagen Alarm: "Die aktuelle Kursentwicklung gleich der von 1987! Ein Crash steht bevor". Ist dies wirklich so?

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sentix Investmentmeinung 42-2016

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Öl mit neuem Signal

Die Ölpreise konnten sich in den letzten Wochen – entgegen der üblichen saisonalen Tendenz – weiter erho-len. Ausgangspunkt war ein schwaches Sentiment und eine moderate Belebung im Strategischen Bias. Doch nun beginnen sich, eine Reihe von Divergenzen einzustellen. Diese müssen zwar den Ölpreis nicht sofort nach Süden bringen, doch die Gefahrenmomente nehmen zu!

Geänderte Einschätzungen: EUR-USD, Rohöl

Klicken Sie hier für die aktuelle Investmentmeinung (sentix Registrierung erforderlich)

A second Brexit result?

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In a special survey, we interviewed more than 1,000 investors for their opinion on the forthcoming US presidential elections. From the point of view of investors, the choice seems to be running. Around 90% expect a victory from Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton. This clear vote goes beyond the current state of the so-called "prediction mar-kets", ie the vote of the bookmakers. Is the story of the Brexit repeating itself?

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SNTI and SNTZ data delayed

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Dear data client,
due to a technical problem, the data for the sentix Styles indices (part of 'preference and behavior data package') cannot provided in time. We are working on the issue and hope to have the data ready for download by Monday night. Please notice, that the data you receive on Bloomberg are not the final numbers and will be revised by the upcoming update. We will inform you by mail as soon as the delayed data is available to you.

Data codes affected by this issue are starting with SNTIxxxx and SNTZxxxx.

All other data items are available and correct.

We apologize any inconvenience for you and thank for your understanding.

Kind regards,

Your sentix database team

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