Signals of weakness in the US

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The Euroland economy continues to be in good shape. The sentix economic index for the Euro area rises to 27.4 points, the highest since July 2007. These assessments are increasingly supported by the current situation assessment, which reached the highest level since January 2008, with 34.5 points. It is even better in Germany. Here, the current situation judgment reaches 61.3 points the fifth largest ever measured value. Quite different is the situation in the US, where investors are increasingly looking at the economic outlook. US economic expectations are falling again.

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New Overconfidence Index data available

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Good News for all market sentiment data clients!

We have greatly expanded our overconfidence index coverage. We have added lots of new overconfidence indices for markets like FTSE100, Gold Bugs, sector indices and many more.

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sentix Investmentmeinung 17-2017

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Die Parallele zu 2006 bleibt verblüffend hoch!

Eine faustdicke Überraschung präsentieren die sentix-Daten. Zeigte die Frankreich-Sonderumfrage noch eine positive Haltung der Anleger zum Ausgang der französischen Präsidentschaftswahlen (und daraus folgend für Aktien und Euro), so ist davon in den Daten vom Wochenende kaum etwas zu erkennen. Im Gegenteil. Der strategische Aktien-Bias der Profis fällt sogar! Damit bleibt der Gleichlauf zu 2006 erhalten.

Geänderte Einschätzungen: keine

Klicken Sie hier für die aktuelle Investmentmeinung (sentix Registrierung erforderlich)

France relaxed

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The first election round to the French presidential election has appeased investors' minds. Only 13.6% of investors are now expecting the euro to break-up, after 18.7% in the previous month. For France, the probability of an Euro ex-it (“Frexit”) decreases to 3.5% after an high of 8,4% end of February. However, Greece and Italy remain the most likely potential candidates for exit.

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sentix ASR Essentials 17-2017

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Gold losing its lustre for investors

The latest sentix survey indicates that investors’ more positive medium-term strategic bias on bunds and EUR/USD remains intact, as is the less negative bias on equities that has emerged in recent weeks. In contrast, investor sentiment on Gold has fallen back to relatively neutral levels, while readings based on investors’ medium-term strategic bias are showing signs of rolling over. It appears that Gold may be losing its lustre for investors. This chimes with last week’s survey review, in which we noted that optimism on commodities as a grouping was weakening. See Charts 2-4 on page 2.

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