sentix ASR Essentials 06-2017

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Investors move back onto the defensive

The latest sentix survey suggests investors have become more defensive in their investment preferences. At an asset level, the large negative gap between views on the medium-term outlook for Eurozone bonds versus equities is continuing to close. Survey questions on investors’ opinions on the medium-term outlook for sectors versus the European market also reveal a less ‘risk-on’ bias, with readings on Energy, Basic Resources, Autos and Banks reversing some of their recent gains. On the other side of the sentiment divide, pessimism on Food & Beverage is lessening, while Healthcare readings bounced back from historic lows. On a similar tack in commodities, investors’ medium-term strategic bias on Gold is becoming more positive. In short, it appears that the ‘risk-on’ bias baked into investor sentiment is weakening. See page 2 for charts.

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sentix Investmentmeinung 05-2017

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Frostiger Februar voraus?

Die heute veröffentlichten Daten zu den sentix-Konjunkturindizes unterstreichen unsere Diagnose der Vorwoche: der neue US-Präsident entwickelt sich zum Perspektivenkiller. Diese Botschaft kommt inzwischen bei den Anlegern deutlich an und führt zu einer Reihe von negativen Sentimentimpulsen bei Aktien und Veränderungen im Strategischen Bias bei nahezu allen Anlageklassen.

Geänderte Einschätzungen: Aktien USA

Klicken Sie hier für die aktuelle Investmentmeinung (sentix Registrierung erforderlich)

Current situation in the Eurozone improves

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The sentix headline index for the Eurozone experiences a slight setback in February (-0.8 points MoM). In contrast, the current situation value increases 4 points and has reached the highest value since May 2011. Investors’ expectations retreat for all world regions as the first acts of the new US President causes caution among the investment community. Nevertheless, investors positively review the current situation of the US economy. The current situation value for the US remains fairly stable at 45 points. In comparison to other world regions, expectations for the US economy fall the most in February (-8.7 points MoM). The bullying US-President is a serious threat.

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sentix ASR Essentials 05-2017

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A beacon amidst the gloom on Bunds

T he latest sentix survey indicates that investors’ deeply negative medium-term strategic bias on Eurozone bonds has begun to moderate, set against economic expectations that are seen as a slightly less bearish theme for bonds. This fits with the February sentix economic survey, which revealed deteriorating expectations for the eurozone economy (readings dropped from +20.0 to +14.3). At the same time investors’ strategic bias on equities has become less positive. In a relative context, therefore, investors’ underlying negative medium-term strategic bias on eurozone bonds versus equities has moderated, along with expectations for the EZ economy. See Page 2 for charts.

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Trump in focus

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Introduction of the sentix Trumpometer®

The new US administration is increasingly viewed by investors as an important market factor. For this reason, sentix begins measuring this perception and assessing how the actions of the US administration in various policy areas affect the stock market from the investor's point of view. The first survey involved more than 1,200 professional and private investors.

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