sentix Investmentmeinung 02-2018

Written by Manfred Hübner | 16 January 2018
Posted in sentix Weekly

There are no translations available.

sentix in Bild und Ton

Aus terminlichen Gründen entfällt die Investmentmeinung in dieser Woche. Damit Sie dennoch nicht ganz ohne sentix-Einschätzung sind, haben wir zwei Videoempfehlungen für Sie! Änderungen am Research-Portfolio nehmen wir in dieser Woche keine vor.

Geänderte Einschätzungen: Keine

Lesen Sie hier die Ergebniskommentierung (sentix Registrierung erforderlich)

sentix ASR Essentials 02-2018

Written by Manfred Hübner | 14 January 2018
Posted in sentix Weekly

Bond-sensitive sectors on the back-foot

Deep pessimism on bonds appears to be casting a long shadow across investors’ European sector preferences, with the latest sentix survey pointing to increased pessimism on bond sensitive sectors such as Utilities (which remains survey participants’ least-loved sector) and Telecoms versus the market. This is consistent with the notable relationship between investors’ medium-term strategic bias on bunds and their sentiment towards Telecoms (chart 2, page 2). While pessimism on Bunds is not extreme, sentiment readings have fallen towards the low-end of their historic range. Any bounce in eurozone bonds in the coming weeks may lend some near-term sentiment support to hard-pressed bond-sensitive sectors. See pages 2 and 3 for charts.

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sentix Investmentmeinung 01-2018

Written by Manfred Hübner | 10 January 2018
Posted in sentix Weekly

There are no translations available.

Wie riskant sind US-Aktien?

Das Research-Portfolio hatte keinen guten Jahresausklang. Die von uns favorisierten Marktbewegungen sind überwiegend nicht so eingetreten wie erwartet, obwohl zum Teil sehr starke Signale vorlagen. Die-sem Umstand müssen wir Rechnung tragen und Position für Position betrachten: wo ist ein Comeback zu erwarten und wo müssen wir die Fehlprognose durch einen Stopp-Loss beenden?

Geänderte Einschätzungen: EuroSTOXX 50, EUR-JPY, Gold

Lesen Sie hier die Ergebniskommentierung (sentix Registrierung erforderlich)

Danger of overheating

Written by Manfred Hübner | 07 January 2018
Posted in sentix Economic News

In January 2018, there was no sign of a loss of momentum in the sentix economic indices, which we were able to detect in the beginning of December. On the contrary: all regions of the world show a stable, positive and moderately improved economic picture. The US economic expectations, which are stimulated by the tax reform, have improved particularly significantly. In the eurozone, too, progress is continuing. And even latecomers such as Eastern Europe and Latin America continue to improve. The upswing is thus broad and synchronous. The likelihood of overheating is increasing.

sentix ASR Essentials 01-2018

Written by Patrick Hussy | 07 January 2018
Posted in sentix Weekly

Rising tide of equity optimism reaches highly elevated levels

The new year has started on the front foot for developed and emerging market equities, helped by still upbeat macro data and declining uncertainty on the near- term outlook for markets (see chart 7, page 3). In the case of global equities, the dominant near-term theme is now elevated optimism, with sentiment readings on indices in the US, Asia and the eurozone reaching the high-end of their historic range in the first week of 2018. The current highly elevated degree of optimism may be a near-term risk for equities as markets move into Q1. See Page 2 for charts.