sentix Survey results (11-2020)

Written by Patrick Hussy | 15 March 2020
Posted in sentix Weekly

"Bias Rise" as a Hope

Sentiment for equities had recently fallen sharply. This week we are measuring a slight increase in sentiment for US equities of 8 percentage points, even though the absolute value of -34 percentage points still remains in bearish territory. Surprisingly, investors are showing confidence as they look to the medium term. There are some signs of easing - at least in the short term.

Further topics:

Precious metals: Selling pressure increases
Bonds: No value – Part 2
sentix Sector sentiment

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Welcome to Absurdistan

Written by Manfred Hübner | 10 March 2020
Posted in sentix Weekly

Anyone who thought that the bond markets had already experienced their greatest possible exaggeration in the summer of 2019 has recently been proven wrong in the wake of the Corona crisis. We would not have thought that the yield on 10-year Bunds could once again reach a new all-time low. For US bonds we were somewhat more opti-mistic (and therefore had a long position in our fund here), but a fall in interest rates from 1.5% to 0.5% within a month was beyond our imagination.

sentix Survey results (10-2020)

Written by Patrick Hussy | 08 March 2020
Posted in sentix Weekly

All-time lows in equity sentiment

The situation is becoming more and more extreme: We are measuring an extremely high level of pessimism, particularly with regard to equities and crude oil. The sentiment barometers for stocks in Euroland and Japan even mark historic all-time lows! On the other hand, it is bonds and precious metals that make investors cheer in the crisis. But their bias is eroding and signals selling pressure. It is astonishing that investors are keeping their bias high for equities in the medium term. The reliance on the central banks is once again high.

Further topics:

Precious metals: Erosion in bias
Bonds: No value
sentix economic index: Monday, 09.03.2020 at 10:30 A.M.

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Global recession

Written by Manfred Hübner | 08 March 2020
Posted in sentix Economic News

The new corona virus, which is now spreading significantly across the globe and requires consistent measures to contain it, is plunging the global economy into recession. The global economic overall index falls from +8.1 to -12 points. Never before has such a strong synchronized collapse of the global economy been measurable in our data. This puts the current slump in an inglorious chain: Lehman (2008), Fukushima (2011) and the oil credit crisis (2016).

Bonds run hot

Written by Manfred Hübner | 04 March 2020
Posted in sentix Weekly

In the course of the great uncertainty about the spread of the corona virus and the resulting economic consequences, shares have recently come under severe pressure. At the same time, investors have once again sought out safer havens. A wise decision?