sentix Survey results (31-2023)

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Fat slump in sentiment

The surprisingly marked correction in equities has led to a significant deterioration in sentiment. The bulls are pulling back sharply. This opens up a short-term contrarian potential. However, not only because of the typical August seasonality, this is likely to unfold fully only with an investment period of more than 2-3 weeks. Usually, this kind of sentiment slump is followed by a second "leg" after a short-lived recovery bounce.

Further results

  • Equities: Basic strategic confidence rises by majority
  • USD-JPY: Central bank turns investor bias around
  • sentix economic index: Monday, 07. August 2023 at 10:30 CEST

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sentix Survey results (30-2023)

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Signal of new beginnings in China, lethargy in Europe

The stock market in China is doing something remarkable. The investment professionals in particular are sending a strong signal of departure. Crude oil is also slowly developing momentum: the bias has increased by 12 percentage points in the last 6 weeks. Statistically, this means tailwinds for black gold, especially since the positioning of market participants is still lagging behind. Will this lead to new inflationary pressures? Bond investors are looking to the future with promise. Record bias leads to record long positioning.

Further results

  • Bonds: Record bias leads to record long positioning
  • Crude oil: new boost
  • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

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sentix Survey results (29-2023)

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Strong interest in bonds - bias reaches all-time high!

The underlying interest in bonds remains strong. For the U.S. in particular, the bias is developing diametrically to the positioning pattern. In terms of investor behavior, there are therefore clear opportunities. Basic strategic confidence is also rising in gold and bitcoins. This conviction is lacking in equities. Rather, the pessimistic sentiment from 2 weeks ago is still having an effect, the short squeeze that was unleashed is still in full swing. A vola signal is pending at the end.

Further results

  • Equities: Short squeeze still running
  • Gold: Solid bias development
  • sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

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sentix Survey results (28-2023)

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Short-covering underway

After the sentiment signal of the previous week, the price upswing in equities has put the bears under pressure and already forced large parts of them to give up. A good part of the performance potential has been worked off, but not all of it. There are new, interesting signals to report for silver and crude oil.

Further results

  • Bonds: Continued high underlying confidence
  • Crude oil: Bias upswing
  • sentix sector sentiment

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sentix expands the policy barometer

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We have expanded the Policy Barometer data set. Under the data code 'CL', we reflect investors' assessment of how they believe climate change policies are affecting capital markets.

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