Happy New Year! Euroland caught up strongly

Written by Manfred Hübner | 07 January 2013
Posted in sentix Economic News

The composite index for Euroland shows a strong improvement in January and rises for the fifth time in a row. The rise in economic expectations is especially pronounced, rising to the highest value since February 2011. Both the assessments of the current situation and expectations of other countries and regions all point upward. The US values end comparatively weak. All in all, the beginning of the year is very strong. Thus, we celebrate both the start of the new year and the 10th birthday of the sentix economic index! 

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Euro crisis less and less important

Written by Sebastian Wanke | 02 January 2013
Posted in sentix Euro Break-up Index News

The sentix Euro Breakup Index (EBI) for December decreases from 32.7% to 25.0%. This is the EBI's lowest level since its inception in June 2012. Only one out of four investors now thinks that within the next twelve months at least one country will leave the euro zone. The EBI had reached a high in June 2012 with 73.3%. The current survey was conducted from December 27th to December 29th, 2012. 778 investors were polled.

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Die bessere ifo-Prognose

Written by Sebastian Wanke | 19 December 2012
Posted in Woolly thoughts (blog)

Der sentix-Konjunkturindex, ein unverzichtbares Utensil im sentix-Datenkasten, hat heute schon wieder überrascht – und das, obwohl er gar nicht veröffentlicht wurde. Denn „der sentix" ist schon Anfang letzter Woche herausgekommen. Heute war das ifo-Geschäftsklima an der Reihe. Es war dieses wichtigste deutsche Konjunkturbarometer, das einmal mehr besser als (von der Mehrzahl der Analysten) gedacht ausfiel. Und ein Blick in die Details verrät: Es war die – für die Finanzmärkte besonders wichtige – Erwartungskomponente, die mit einem ordentlichen Satz für diese Verbesserung gesorgt hat. Mit einem solchen Anstieg hatte keiner der Analysten gerechnet.

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First mover up again

Written by Sebastian Wanke | 09 December 2012
Posted in sentix Economic News

The composite index for the eurozone goes up to -16.8 points from -18.8 last month. This is its fourth increase in a row. The 909 surveyed investors display almost no change in their assessment of the current situation while their 6-months-expectations improve further. With the year ending, the expectations index has reached its highest reading in 2012. Outstanding increases in the economic expectations sub-indices are registered for Germany and for Japan. It is, once more, mainly institutional investors who are behind these developments. 

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November data stable, risks even decrease a little

Written by Manfred Hübner | 26 November 2012
Posted in sentix Euro Break-up Index News

The sentix Euro Breakup Index (EBI) for November remains stable. It decreases slightly to 32.7% from 33.2% in the previous month. Consequently, about one in three investors surveyed by sentix still thinks that at least one country will leave the euro zone within the next twelve months. In July the EBI had reached a high at 73.3%. The survey was conducted from November 22nd to November 24th among 925 institutional and private investors.

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