sentix Survey results (11-2024)

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Written by Manfred Hübner | 17 March 2024
Posted in sentix Weekly

Negative sentiment divergence

Imagine it is a bull market and investors are not infected by it. That is exactly the case. Prices are not sparking jubilation among investors. On the contrary. With the constant new highs, strategic scepticism is growing. But the proportion of bears is also growing in the short term. A clear negative divergence has emerged in sentiment, reminiscent of the end of 2021. Bull markets are not only ended by euphoria, but sometimes also by a rational rejection.

Further results

  • Bonds: Sharp drop in sentiment
  • Crude oil: Basic confidence continues to rise
  • sentix Styles - Investor preferences & behavior

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sentix Survey results (10-2024)

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Written by Manfred Hübner | 10 March 2024
Posted in sentix Weekly

Bullish sentiment in the precious metals sector

The consolidation signals for the equity market remain intact. Both the weak underlying confidence and the high values in the TD Index signal more risk than opportunity. Defensive asset classes, on the other hand, are much more appealing from an investor's point of view. Basic confidence in the bond market, for example, is rising steadily. The same applies to precious metals. However, a short-term overheating of sentiment is indicated here.

Further results

  • Equities: The risks remain
  • Bonds: Basic confidence rises significantly
  • sentix sector sentiment

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sentix Survey results (09-2024)

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Written by Patrick Hussy | 03 March 2024
Posted in sentix Weekly

Buying Instis without a real conviction

Now the Japanese stock market has also been hit: since this weekend, the Nikkei has also been affected by overconfidence risk (analogous to the USA and the Euro zone). This is causing increasing risk signals in sentix Risk Radar. Investors also regard the high prices in the indices as expensive and no longer see any potential for most stock markets in the medium term. It is therefore all the more astonishing that institutional investors are increasing their position risk without any real conviction. The situation looks better for bonds and gold.

Further results

  • Equities: Now Japan too
  • Gold: Attacking all-time highs
  • sentix economic index: Monday, 04th March 2024 at 10:30 CET

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sentix Survey results (08-2024)

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Written by Manfred Hübner | 25 February 2024
Posted in sentix Weekly

Rational in an irrational market?

The stock markets continue to surprise with rising prices. The risk situation already indicated a month ago has at best slowed down the price upswing but has not yet led to a correction. As a result, the risk situation for equities has not eased, but rather increased across the board. There is increasing irritation at the strategic level. The picture is clearer for investors in precious metals.

Further results

  • Bonds: Attractiveness declines
  • Silver: Basic confidence continues to rise
  • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

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sentix Survey results (07-2024)

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Written by Patrick Hussy | 18 February 2024
Posted in sentix Weekly

Taking part is everything

Sentiment neutral, neutrality near record highs, neutral in the portfolios. This is the result of an investment behavior that basically illustrates the perplexity, but also underlines the desire to participate in the development of the stock markets. There is a sense of unease (falling bias), but no desire to miss out (neutral positioning). If there is also a reward mechanism for taking risks through rising prices, the danger of overconfidence increases. The picture appears much more favorable for silver.

Further results

  • Equities: You feel uneasy, but don't want to miss anything
  • Silver: Something's up!
  • sentix Styles - Investor preferences & behavior

Click here for the full report

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