sentix Survey results (41-2024)

Written by Patrick Hussy | 13 October 2024
Posted in sentix Weekly

Make Americas S&P 500 greater again

Sentiment for US equities is great, but medium-term confidence is even higher: at +31 percentage points, the strategic bias is at its highest level since December 2020. Investors can't seem to get enough of the S&P 500's record highs. The trend is fuelled by US technology stocks. The temporary aversion from the summer months is no longer much in evidence here. There is also an all-clear signal for gold.

Further results:

• Further resultsGold: Basic confidence catches on at a high level
• Crude oil: Rise could continue
• sentix sector sentiment

sentix Survey results (40-2024)

Written by Manfred Hübner | 06 October 2024
Posted in sentix Weekly

The Strategic bias in equities is rising significantly

During the Chinese holiday week, investors' fundamental confidence in equities improved globally. Institutional investors in particular are reacting very positively in their strategic bias, which statistically indicates rising equity prices. At the same time, sentiment is cooling off in the short term, causing the TD indices to fall as well. We are also measuring bias signals in bonds and the currency market, while the oil sentiment is very bullish.

Further results

• EUR-USD: Reversal in the strategic bias
• Crude oil: Bullish sentiment
• sentix Economic Index: Monday, 7^th oct. 2024, 10:30am CET

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sentix Survey results (39-2024)

Written by Manfred Hübner | 29 September 2024
Posted in sentix Weekly

The China party continues

The mood on the stock markets has improved significantly. We measure the highest optimism for US equities this year. Investors are also acting accordingly bullish. The equity ratios have also increased. This is likely to dampen the short-term price outlook. We experienced a bang over the course of the week for Chinese equities. Here, we measure an increase in sentiment of 42 percentage points, more than ever before in a week.

Further results

• Bonds: attractiveness is waning across the entire curve
• Silver: the China party continues
• sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

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sentix Survey results (38-2024)

Written by Manfred Hübner | 22 September 2024
Posted in sentix Weekly

Loss of confidence in bonds

Investors in the bond market are not happy about the interest rate cuts by the Fed and the ECB. The basic strategic confidence is collapsing significantly, thus promoting profit-taking in bonds. Investors are apparently worried that inflation could make a comeback. For equities, we are seeing signals of an interim consolidation. There is also a sentiment signal for EUR-USD.

Further results

• Equities: Too many bulls in the US stock market
• EUR-USD: Bullish sentiment
• sentix Styles - Investor preferences & behavior

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sentix Survey results (37-2024)

Written by Manfred Hübner | 15 September 2024
Posted in sentix Weekly

Bullish sentiment reflex in equities

Confidence is increasingly spreading on the stock market. After the fear reflex of the previous week, share sentiment is jumping upwards just as reflexively. And basic confidence is also on the march. Is this the best of all worlds or a dangerous displacement mode? We see parallels in the sentiment picture from a year ago. Back then, investors were confident and a good fourth quarter followed. Is history repeating itself?

Further results

• Equities: Basic strategic confidence surprisingly strong
• Gold: The air is getting thinner
• sentix sector sentiment

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