sentix Survey results (21-2022)

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Written by Manfred Hübner | 29 May 2022
Posted in sentix Weekly

Equity sentiment jumps sharply

The sigh of relief for equity investors can be felt in the data: sentiment scores for equities improve considerably, by up to 35% points, in the wake of the friendly share price trend. Is this a liberating blow? Hardly. Because the strategic bias does not follow suit, the TD values rise. Sustainability looks different.

Further results

  • Equities: TD indices unfavourable
  • FX: USD-JPY bias falls further
  • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

 Click here for the full report (requires a sentix registration)

sentix Survey results (20-2022)

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Written by Manfred Hübner | 22 May 2022
Posted in sentix Weekly

Tactical recovery opportunities exist

Sentiment for US equities remains depressed. However, even though equities have once again hit the lows of the previous week and even fallen slightly below them, sentiment can decouple itself positively from this. A positive divergence in sentiment is thus emerging. A tactical recovery movement is likely.

Further results

  • Bonds: Bias for US bonds continues to climb
  • FX: US dollar profit-taking likely to set in
  • sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

 Click here for the full report (requires a sentix registration)

sentix Survey results (19-2022)

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Written by Patrick Hussy | 15 May 2022
Posted in sentix Weekly

An important piece of the puzzle is missing

At -44 percentage points, sentiment for U.S. equities reached a very high level of pessimism compared with the previous week. That the contrarian investor should nevertheless be cautious is shown by another dimension in investor behavior: The medium-term strategic bias is also weak, indicating no repurchase propensity despite declining stock prices. Consequently, the balance of sentiment and bias (see chart) is not that deep in negative territory. Good buying opportunities are characterized by the time differential index reaching a level of at least -35 percentage points (or lower).

Further results

  • Bonds: Bias for US bonds climbs further
  • Gold: Constructive
  • sentix sector sentiment

Click here for the full report (requires a sentix registration)

sentix Survey results (18-2022)

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Written by Patrick Hussy | 08 May 2022
Posted in sentix Weekly

Sentiment for Euroland equities falls to all-time low

At -49 percentage points, sentiment for Euroland equities marks a level never before measured in history! This makes the contrarian investor prick up his ears. Usually, such extremes in sentiment occur near market lows. However, very strong declines in sentiment can also trigger one last big avalanche, accompanied by short-covering actions. This was the case in August 2008, for example. With the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers, the high level of pessimism was discharged into sharply falling share prices.

Further results

  • Bonds: Low neutrality
  • USD/JPY: Opportunities for the yen indicated
  • sentix economic index: Monday 09th May 2022 at 10:30 CEST

Click here for the full report (requires a sentix registration)

sentix Survey results (17-2022)

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Written by Manfred Hübner | 01 May 2022
Posted in sentix Weekly

Bearish sentiment, weak underlying confidence

The stock markets remain under pressure. This leads to a slump in sentiment. In addition to the sentix index, the AAII index is also as low as it was last in 2005. Contrary opportunities arise from such a bearish sentiment situation. However, the market lacks value perception. The basic strategic conviction is missing. In the special analysis we highlighted the Ukraine conflict. For investors, a recession in 2022 is almost certain.

Further results

  • Bonds: Bias continues to rise
  • EUR-USD: Postive signals from TD-Index
  • sentix special survey on Ukraine crisis

Click here for the full report (requires a sentix registration)

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