sentix Survey results (36-2022)

Print

Written by Manfred Hübner | 11 September 2022
Posted in sentix Weekly

Basic confidence in equities remains the core problem

The very high level of fear that we measured on equities in the previous week gave way somewhat in the course of the week. Nevertheless, equities should still benefit somewhat from the poor sentiment. However, we continue to doubt that we are at a classic contrarian buying point. Fundamental confidence simply remains too weak. Moreover, in our view, the action patterns do not reflect the seriousness of the situation. The parallels to 2001 and 2008 still exist.

Further results

  • Crude oil: Risks increase
  • Silver: OCI and bias with positive signals
  • sentix sector sentiment

Click here for the full report (requires a sentix registration)

sentix Survey results (35-2022)

Print

Written by Patrick Hussy | 04 September 2022
Posted in sentix Weekly

ANGST

This is what ANGST looks like! The mood at the stock markets reaches in rows new historical extreme values! Fear shoots the investors in the limbs, it could go with the energy supply violently something wrong. At the same time, the price of crude oil is wobbling and fears of recession are becoming real. If things turn out as they did in the crisis years of 2008 and 2001, the fall will bring a sharp drop in crude oil prices. This would then give the central banks arguments and room for maneuver.

Fruther results

  • Crude oil: Price collapse as in 2001/2008?
  • FX: High overconfidence among US dollar bulls
  • sentix economic index: 05th September 2022 at 10:30 CEST

Click here for the full report (requires a sentix registration)

sentix Survey results (34-2022)

Print

Written by Patrick Hussy | 28 August 2022
Posted in sentix Weekly

Private investors react hesitantly

There is no end to the bad news. Sentiment collapses, investors smooth out their positions. The professionals have already prepared for a stronger setback. Private investors are reacting hesitantly. But how should positioning behavior be assessed? A comparison with 2008 shows that there is still enough room for maneuver on the downside.

Fruther results

  • FX: Bias in the Swiss Franc reaches record level
  • Precious metals: Constructive
  • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

Click here for the full report (requires a sentix registration)

sentix Survey results (33-2022)

Print

Written by Patrick Hussy | 21 August 2022
Posted in sentix Weekly

2008 as a template

One of the weakest developments in the sentix data set is the bias for Chinese equities. This falls significantly compared to the rest of the equity markets and has given up 22 percentage points in the last four weeks alone. This indicates an increasing willingness to sell. Investors are also sensing trouble with Bitcoins. All in all, many things follow a certain pattern, especially if you compare today with 2008.

Fruther results

  • Bitcoins: Risk off mode
  • Volatility: Calm before the storm
  • sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

Click here for the full report (requires a sentix registration)

sentix Survey results (32-2022)

Print

Written by Patrick Hussy | 14 August 2022
Posted in sentix Weekly

Weather forecast announces hot autumn

Investor behavior remains tense, and the ratio of medium-term confidence to short-term sentiment is extremely unfavorable. This is reflected in the time differential index for the Euro Stoxx 50 (chart), which is at a high level with a balance of +12 percentage points. Consequently, there is a risk that a hot fall on the stock markets will seamlessly follow the climatically hot summer.

Fruther results

  • EUR/USD: Development against the Euro
  • Silver: Still too high overconfidence of the bears
  • sentix sector sentiment

Click here for the full report (requires a sentix registration)

More Articles...

We use cookies and third-party services that store information in the end device of a site visitor or retrieve it there. We then process the information further. This all helps us to provide you with our basic services (user account), to save the language selection, to optimally design our website and to continuously improve it. We need your consent for the storage, retrieval and processing. You can revoke your consent at any time by deleting the cookies from this website in your browser. Your consent is thereby revoked. You can find further information in our privacy policy. To find out more about the cookies we use and how to delete them, see our privacy policy.

I accept cookies from this site.

EU Cookie Directive Module Information