sentix Survey results (23-2024)

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Written by Manfred Hübner | 09 June 2024
Posted in sentix Weekly

Crude oil: Positive indication in the TD Index

We are measuring an improvement in sentiment and basic strategic confidence in equities. The latter is unusual against the backdrop of seasonality. Bonds, on the other hand, are not gaining in strategic bias. The data on crude oil is promising.

Further results

  • Equities: Further improvement in sentiment
  • Bonds: No improvement in basic confidence
  • sentix economic indices: Monday, 10.06.24, 10.30 CEST

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sentix Survey results (22-2024)

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Written by Manfred Hübner | 02 June 2024
Posted in sentix Weekly

First positive sentiment signals

Sentiment towards equities continues to cool. At the same time, we are measuring an increase in medium-term basic confidence. This is an unusual change in the data both in terms of seasonal timing and against the background of price trends. Statistically, this points to rising share prices. We are also seeing a noteworthy signal in the Japanese yen.

Further results

  • Gold: Hardly any room for new buying
  • FX: Investors fear renewed selling in USD-JPY

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sentix ASR Essentials (21-2014)

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Written by Manfred Hübner | 26 May 2024
Posted in sentix Weekly

Investors not concerned about weak market breadth

Market breadth, measured by the proportion of shares in an index above the 50- or 250-day average, is eroding in the US equity market in a remarkable way. Surprisingly, however, this is not yet causing investors any strategic concern. As sentiment values are slightly negative at the same time, the bulls could make another attempt to attack. Things could also get exciting for oil. At the very least, the high neutrality indicates increasing volatility.

Further results

  • Bonds: Short maturities favoured
  • Gold: Further profit-taking to be expected
  • sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

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sentix Survey results (20-2024)

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Written by Manfred Hübner | 19 May 2024
Posted in sentix Weekly

Slight cooling of sentiment

Despite the gains in share prices, there is no euphoria in sentiment. On the contrary. Sentiment is cooling. The still positive seasonal window could therefore be used by equities for further price gains. There is an interesting signal for EUR-USD. Basic strategic confidence is rising significantly. The euro should continue to benefit from this.

Further results

  • EUR-USD: Significant rise in bias
  • Oil: TD Index on typical path
  • sentix Styles - Investor preferences & behavior

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sentix Survey results (19-2024)

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Written by Patrick Hussy | 12 May 2024
Posted in sentix Weekly

Leap of joy with bias decline for Instis

The bull market on the stock market triggers a veritable leap of joy. Sentiment towards equities is rising significantly worldwide. The bias development is remarkable: private investors continue to rise, while professionals react completely differently. Their bias is falling drastically. As a result, they are increasingly thinking about taking profits. A spread comparison shows: If the professionals show this behavior, an upper turning point or an interim consolidation is likely.

Further results

  • Commodities: Precious metals and crude oil promising
  • FX: USD/JPY remains depressed
  • sentix sector sentiment

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