View on USA and Latin America

Written by Manfred Hübner | 06 February 2022
Posted in sentix Economic News

The economic situation in the world is relatively stable in February compared to January 2022. In Euroland and al-so in Germany, we measure a slight improvement in the situation and expectations. In Asia, the picture is mixed. The development in the USA is problematic. Here the overall index is falling for the third time in a row, which is due to the decline in expectations. The signals we are receiving from Latin America are encouragingly positive.

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sentix Survey results (04-2022)

Written by Manfred Hübner | 30 January 2022
Posted in sentix Weekly

Underlying confidence continues to weigh on equities

Sentiment in equities recovered over the course of the week. We still measure a certain scepticism, which has a stabilising effect in the short term. But the basic strategic confidence remains weak. Equities are not yet back in stable waters. On the other hand, we hear a clear sentiment signal for crude oil and the EUR-USD.

Further results

• Crude oil: Sell signals in sentiment
• EUR-USD: Much euro pessimism
• sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

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sentix Survey results (03-2022)

Written by Patrick Hussy | 23 January 2022
Posted in sentix Weekly

Prepare, but don't buy yet!

The put-call ratio in the U.S. jumps up, sentiment tilts down. Normally, such contrary signals are a buy indication. But the strategic dimension weighs on the market, as do style preferences, which are unfavorable. The S&P should target the chart support at 4,300 points and then start a countermovement. However, whether this attempt is sustainable?

Further results

• Bonds: Things are moving before the FED meeting
• Gold: Constructive
• sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

Click here for the full report (requires a sentix registration)

sentix Survey results (02-2022)

Written by Manfred Hübner | 16 January 2022
Posted in sentix Weekly

Equity bias falls agan

For the first time since 2020, the strategic bias for US equities falls into negative territory. Accordingly, the majority of investors expect prices to fall over the next six months. The market is thus coming under a dangerous selling bias. With bullish sentiment at the same time, no all-clear can be given in the short term.

Further results

• Equities: Technology under pressure
• FX: USD-JPY bias falls
• sentix sector sentiment

Stabilization is progressing

Written by Patrick Hussy | 09 January 2022
Posted in sentix Economic News

The stabilization of economic indicators is progressing in January 2022. At 14.9 points, the overall index for the euro zone increases by 1.4 points. The current assessment improves by 3.0 points, while the expectations component stagnates. The picture is similar for Germany. The figures for the Asia ex Japan region are particularly encouraging. All sub-components increased significantly. This gives more contour to our basic scenario that the global economy is recovering and finding its way out of the mid-cycle slowdown. Some world regions are even bouncing back into the boom squares of the sentix business cycle clock.

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