sentix Survey results (12-2023)

Written by Patrick Hussy | 26 March 2023
Posted in sentix Weekly

Astonishingly little emotion

In terms of news, there has been a lot going on in the markets in recent days. Wobbly banks, huge support measures, at the same time rising key interest rates. The indices on the stock and bond side are whizzing wildly back and forth. Surprisingly, this is causing little emotion among investors. It almost seems as if a natural behavior pattern is being suppressed. In precious metals, the pulse of investors is rising. This is where emotionality comes to the fore.

Further results

• Bonds: Bias constructive, offensive positioning puts the brakes on
• Silver: There could still be something
• sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

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sentix Survey results (11-2023)

Written by Manfred Hübner | 19 March 2023
Posted in sentix Weekly

Strategic bias jumps

The FED's clear commitment, also underpinned by corresponding monetary actions, to nip the banking crisis in the US in the bud as far as possible, is convincing investors above all from a strategic perspective. The basic strategic confidence in US technology stocks has jumped significantly. This has only happened 8 times before. On average, the Nasdaq was up 6% 8 weeks later.

Further results

• FX: Surprisingly little movement in EUR-USD
• Gold: Overheated sentiment
• sentix styles - Investor preferences & behavior

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sentix Survey results (10-2023)

Written by Patrick Hussy | 12 March 2023
Posted in sentix Weekly

U.S. equities wobble violently

It often takes a trigger to shake the weak underlying structure of the market. With the bank runs in California, there is now movement. Investors do not recognize a buying opportunity in the price decline, but lower their thumbs: The strategic bias for the S&P 500 falls to a 26-week low! In parallel, bonds can profit. The buy signals from the sentiment came at the right time. A liberation blow could have succeeded.

Further results:

• Bonds: Contrary buy signals at the right time
• Silver: Striking bias reaction
• sentix sector sentiment

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sentix Survey results (09-2023)

Written by Patrick Hussy | 05 March 2023
Posted in sentix Weekly

China convincing, the rest not

Things are looking good for the Chinese stock market: The strategic bias is rising significantly again and ending its breather. This can be observed even more strongly among investment professionals. This is in clear contrast to the bias development for the other equity markets, which all reflect weak underlying confidence - despite rising/stable equity prices. In the case of bonds, the contrarian signals are increasing. High pessimism is accompanied by high overconfidence.

Further results:

• Bonds: The buy signals are increasing
• EUR/USD: Vola announcement
• sentix economic index: Monday, 06th March 2023 at 10.30 AM CET

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Headwinds increase again

Written by Manfred Hübner | 05 March 2023
Posted in sentix Economic News

After several months of improvement in investors' assessments of the economic situation and expectations, there is a new headwind for economic development at the beginning of March. In the Eurozone, the economic situation scores improved again, for the fifth time in a row. However, the economic expectations show that we are by no means at the beginning of an upswing. Eurozone economic expectations dropped sharply to -13 points. The situation is similar in the other regions of the world. The expectation values are characterised by clear de-clines across the board.

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