sentix Survey results (07-2025)

Written by Patrick Hussy | 16 February 2025
Posted in sentix Weekly

Vola signal for US technology stocks

Investor irritation on the stock market is rising sharply! We are measuring the highest level in the Super Neutrality Index for the Nasdaq since April 2018, which means that a rise in volatility is imminent. There is also a marked bias trend for equities in China and mid-caps in Germany. Bitcoins, on the other hand, are experiencing a stall. The bond markets cannot benefit from any development.

Further results

• Equities: Momentum in China
• Bitcoins: Flow stall in the bias of investors
• sentix sector sentiment

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A little more confidence - despite tariffs

Written by Patrick Hussy | 09 February 2025
Posted in sentix Economic News

The "first mover" among the economic indicators reflects somewhat more confidence for the eurozone in February. The overall index rose from -17.7 points to -12.7 points. Although the assessment of the current situation remains in the deep red zone, it also increased by 4.0 points. Economic expectations for the next 6 months, on the other hand, rose more dynamically by +6.0 points and exceeded the magic zero line for the first time since July 2024 with an index level of +1.0 points. The German economy is also benefiting from this confidence. Expectations have improved by +8.0 points, while the situation assessment remains recessive. Hopes are based on a political turnaround after the federal elections on 23rd February 2025. Internationally, the outlook is also improving: in the US, the economic picture remains robust. The figures for Japan and the Asia ex Japan region have also risen. The renewed rise in Latin America and the signs of easing in Eastern Europe are also striking.

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sentix Survey results (06-2025)

Written by Manfred Hübner | 09 February 2025
Posted in sentix Weekly

High level of neutrality and low basic confidence

On the US stock market, we are seeing an increase in short-term bears. The corresponding sentix index also shows a divergence from price movements. This sentiment is similar to that at the end of 2021. US technology stocks in particular appear vulnerable. There is also an interesting constellation to report from the silver market.

Further results

• Bonds: not benefiting from the uncertainty on the stock markets
• Silver: rare signal with medium-term effect
• sentix economic index: Monday, 10.02.2025, 10.30h CET

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sentix Survey results (05-2025)

Written by Manfred Hübner | 02 February 2025
Posted in sentix Weekly

Weak fundamental confidence in US tech stocks

An interesting development is taking place in the sentix sentiment indicator. Strategic confidence in the US equity markets continues to erode, while it improves in the eurozone. This is particularly pronounced in US technology stocks. Is this the beginning of the end for the outperformance of the ‘magic 7’?

Further results

• Equities: Sentiment high for gold mines
• USD-JPY: Bias on dive
• Silver: Sentiment high

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sentix Survey results (04-2025)

Written by Patrick Hussy | 26 January 2025
Posted in sentix Weekly

Clear investor reaction after "Drill, baby, drill" message

Donald Trump has made a powerful impression with his latest comments on crude oil and has caused an erosion in basic confidence in crude oil. The bias collapsed by 20 percentage points. Investors trust the newly elected US president that his policies will lead to falling crude oil prices in the medium term. However, the crude oil companies and Opec are likely to have other plans. Will Trump and the markets be caught on the wrong foot?

Further results

• Equities: Unfavourable TD Index
• Precious metals: TD index as the biggest pro argument
• sentix investor positioning in equities and bonds

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