sentix ASR Essentials 24-2017

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Commodity caution a challenge for EM equity sentiment

The latest sentix survey indicates that investors have become a little less negative on the medium-term outlook for Chinese equities recently, while sentiment towards emerging market (EM) equities as an asset class has also modestly improved. However, the risk is that continued caution on commodities begins to act as a drag on EM equity sentiment, given their historic relationship. While investors are becoming less negative on Crude oil from a medium-term strategic perspective, this has done little to lend support to sentiment towards commodities as an asset. Increasing investor caution on commodities provides a challenge to a sustained revival in sentiment towards emerging market equities. See Charts 2-4, p2.

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